Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024? • Hacker News Board

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#121

Post by _navierstokes » Fri, Dec 29, 2023, 4:30 PM UTC

pedalpete wrote: post #107

_navierstokes wrote: post #106

- e/acc movement will become more popular - Open-source AI models as good as the state-of-the-art closed ones - Social media is bombarded with AI generated political propaganda from both sides - More adoption of crypto and decentralized apps - SOL reaches all time high - NFTs become popular again - Argentina's economy starts recovering - No AI innovation in the EU because of regulation - X/Twitter will be going stron…

Curious, how would you profit from Argentina's economy recovering? Seeing as you can't trade their currency anymore (if they get rid of the Peso). I don't know what happens with their bonds.

I'm also not sure, but thinking about how to do that.

But I am very optimistic about it, and I think Argentina in the next years will recover from its economic crisis.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#122

Post by fshr » Fri, Dec 29, 2023, 7:58 PM UTC

aaronsimpson wrote: post #63

Predictions for 2024 - Trump/Scott P/VP ticket. - Biden/Trump election is about as close as 2020. Trying to avoid partisanship, but I predict a narrow Biden victory. - Biden loses Nevada, but keeps Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and very narrowly Michigan. - Trump repeats his rage and cries of fraud at his second loss. This is taken even less seriously than the first time. Fox News in particular is more measured. -…

> Apple Vision pushes VR to decent adoption amongst mainstream consumers.

How? It’s $3,500.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#123

Post by fshr » Fri, Dec 29, 2023, 8:00 PM UTC

Utkarsh_Mood wrote: post #98

yen223 wrote: post #96

Earlier quoted context omitted.

HN has swung pessimistic for a while now

maybe its naïvety, but I expected a more optimistic/positive outlook from the hacker community lol.

maybe the pessimists are just more likely to comment?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#124

Post by yen223 » Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 4:51 AM UTC

tmaly wrote: post #108

v9v wrote: post #35

Previous years: 2023: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34125628 (the rest copied from here) 2022: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16007988 2017: none? 2016: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10809767…

Has anyone gone back and checked the past years predictions?

Reading the 2020 thread makes it clear that we absolutely suck at making predictions

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#125

Post by lebaux » Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 7:02 AM UTC

I think in 2024 we will see a complete shift in mentality and bounce off of the bottom and it will take just one bit flip. Yes, I am naive optimist!

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#126

Post by ottaborra » Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 10:09 AM UTC

My predictions:

1. state-space models make transformer based models obsolete

2. Cuda killer gets set loose by AMD

3. The world's first successful head transplant takes place

4. Children of Dune gets greenlit

5. Lex Friedman retires from interviewing

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#127

Post by valdiorn » Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 11:51 AM UTC

landgenoot wrote: post #104

- Consumer electronics with built-in cellular modem, so that they cannot be used offline anymore. - Climate change aware relocations for the upper class. - Over 50% of the world population will be able to vote in 2024. This leads to social turmoil. - A promising new discovery could fix climate change. However, it will take years to make it viable. - Credit cards will become widely accepted in Europe. - First signs of…

> Credit cards will become widely accepted in Europe.

I'm sorry, what? Credit cards are available and accepted basically everywhere in Europe. I've been to 15+ European countries and never had a single issue paying with a credit card. Credit cards are also widely owned and issued all over Europe.

Why would you make this statement? What am I missing?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#128

Post by revskill » Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 12:54 PM UTC

Build my own B2B platform under 200 lines of code of JS.

It blew my mind after finishing it, and i learned one hard lesson: All the frameworks are bullshits (they're too complicated for nonsensical reason). That's it.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#129

Post by tesdinger » Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 4:28 PM UTC

gibbonsrcool wrote: post #6

I predict Google will flounder on multiple fronts. They’ll either continue empty promises of a ChatGPT killer or release one that will be 2nd rate. Meanwhile more adoption of ChatGPT and the like will mean less search and less ad revenue. Azure and AWS will take more market share from GDP. They’ll release ad-blocker unfriendly chrome and users will switch to Firefox. YouTube will expand its trial of not operating wit…

How will Vimeo or another YouTube competitor pay their infrastructure bill without ads or paying customers or 0% interest rates?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#130

Post by landgenoot » Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 10:32 PM UTC

valdiorn wrote: post #127

landgenoot wrote: post #104

- Consumer electronics with built-in cellular modem, so that they cannot be used offline anymore. - Climate change aware relocations for the upper class. - Over 50% of the world population will be able to vote in 2024. This leads to social turmoil. - A promising new discovery could fix climate change. However, it will take years to make it viable. - Credit cards will become widely accepted in Europe. - First signs of…

> Credit cards will become widely accepted in Europe. I'm sorry, what? Credit cards are available and accepted basically everywhere in Europe. I've been to 15+ European countries and never had a single issue paying with a credit card. Credit cards are also widely owned and issued all over Europe. Why would you make this statement? What am I missing?

Depends on where you are.

Vpay and Maestro cards will disappear in Europe and will be replaced by Mastercard Debit and Visa Debit. This forces merchants to also accept foreign creditcards.

https://www.mastercard.com/news/europe/en/perspectives/en/20...