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Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

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Re: Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

#111
post #84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> you have come to the conclusion that the business you're engaging in is fraudulent [...] then you don't deserve any work in tech I do believe the whole tech industry is nothing but a giant scam, selling snake oil at a premium. You are as much the problem as I am. We very much live in a world where you are either the sheep or the wolf, and I ain't gonna be a sheep. I won't back down to bullies of your kind. > I for…

I'm with you brother. If you start to question the morality of who pays your salary, you will soon find that there are very little companies that you would allow yourself to work for. I can think of renewable energies, and not much else. In truth, I already work for an evil company. All companies I worked for in my long career were morally bankrupt one way or another. I never had any trouble sleeping at night. If it'…

> you will soon find that there are very little companies that you would allow yourself to work for.

That’s literally the idea. People doing bad things should find hiring minions difficult.

Re: Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

#112
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

(1) You having money and being fine means you have the power to leave. (2) You cannot explain away 2008 as being the fault of the people who couldn't pay their mortgage. WTAF dude. What I'm getting from this is that you have wrapped yourself up in a nice blanket of ignorance and a nice comfy salary, and while you have come to the conclusion that the business you're engaging in is fraudulent, you've convinced yourself…

> (2) You cannot explain away 2008 as being the fault of the people who couldn't pay their mortgage. WTAF dude. When you are subprime rated, you would have to be a complete moron to take a variable loan on you life. But sure, poor them, it's not their fault, it's the mean evil banker who gave them a tool to shoot themselves with ... That the difference between you and me. I'm gonna give people the freedom to shoot th…

> When you are subprime rated, you would have to be a complete moron to take a variable loan on you life.

And loads of people were that moronic, do they really deserve to have suffered because some other people wanted to profit as much as possible from their stupidity? It's not like these morons had the tools to really assess what the fuck they were doing. Not excluding the fact that many of these loans were basically predatory, using the naivety/stupidity of these people against themselves to cash in.

Does all the world deserve to suffer through a major economic crisis because some morons are totally free to be predated upon by forces much more educated and sophisticated about the financial markets (and by extension doing that knowingly, pretty fucking evil)?

Libertarian ideology doesn't really hold much to reality, full freedom to do whatever is only achievable when the population is educated enough, humanity is not there yet.

What the actual fuck...

Re: Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

#113
post #59

Much of modern finance was illegal 50 years ago. The first financial future was traded on May 16, 1972. Before that, futures were confined to agricultural commodities, where they were used mostly by farmers and buyers of agricultural products. The first junk bond was sold in 1986, and it achieved the largest percentage gain on the NYSE, then in 1987 suffered the largest percentage loss. Until 1999, banks and brokerag…

I would argue that futures (and options) are still gambling. You are literally betting a price of something will be over/under a threshold on a certain date. Sports betting uses over/under and scores as thresholds, this seems no different. People might say its different than sports gambling because it is chance/luck with a team but you can do in depth research on sports teams just as much as futures/options and at th…

> I would argue that futures (and options) are still gambling.

And you would be wrong because those instruments were designed to hedge (reduce) risk. If you are a grain producer and you are worried that the grain price might go down before your next crop you sell a future to lock the price, if you are a flour mill and worry that the price will go up you buy a future.

Can all financial instruments be used for speculation? Of course, same as buying a ton of grain not because you need it but because you expect the price to go up.

Re: Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

#114
post #112
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> (2) You cannot explain away 2008 as being the fault of the people who couldn't pay their mortgage. WTAF dude. When you are subprime rated, you would have to be a complete moron to take a variable loan on you life. But sure, poor them, it's not their fault, it's the mean evil banker who gave them a tool to shoot themselves with ... That the difference between you and me. I'm gonna give people the freedom to shoot th…

> When you are subprime rated, you would have to be a complete moron to take a variable loan on you life. And loads of people were that moronic, do they really deserve to have suffered because some other people wanted to profit as much as possible from their stupidity? It's not like these morons had the tools to really assess what the fuck they were doing. Not excluding the fact that many of these loans were basicall…

This thread is a horror show that is pretty hard to watch, and I knew it would be, but I think it’s worth it. But if you we’re wondering what the rich asshole tree vandals were doing earlier in life, this is it.

Re: Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

#115
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Bitcoin is just as much as a scam as CDO or other financial derivatives. Dog shit wrapped is cat shit is still shit.

CDO at least had an underlying asset. They went wrong because they became a tool to game the rating agencies. Crypto is something else, it's like a way to circumvent any common sense and past learning about securities, and let the common person buy in to a mlm and / or ponzi scheme with some confusing words to make it sound legit.

How is bitcoin more ponzi than any other asset? Less demand will decrease its value, more demand will increase. The supply is predictable so no surprises here.

Bitcoin has a value because people believe it has a value, exactly like the US dollar. No inherent value for either. In contract to the US dollar, at least formally, no one can create more out of thin air, unlike the US dollar, it has an integrated, digital and remote exchange mechanism guaranteed to work (if implemented correctly).

We can have an open discussion regrading other cryptocurrencies, but even there, their value exists because it's being assigned to them. The problem is the expectations and the lies being told by the main stakeholder of that blockchain and that's a different story and not intrinsic at all

Re: Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

#116

> and it feels like a bubble that will burst, sooner if not later There are people who look into the future and perceive this, and to them the effect is an intuitively-scammy feel; and it may even seem like it's a system that is destined to fail. Generally the systems perspective or meta-perspective will be first to call out the scam side here. Things meeting the scammy-feel bar tend to be ephemeral, emotional, the f…

To paraphrase what you said: “It might be a scam but a scam that can maybe fund your own personal retirement so go for it”

Re: Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

#117
post #108
post #25

I don't work in the cryptocurrency space, but I've been following it since close to the beginning, and my personal conclusion is that yes, the vast majority of what gets peddled today is a scam, and we desperately need to find a way to nuke it all from orbit. Reposting one of my earlier comments [0]: Like many people back then, I also found the whole proof-of-work / blockchain concept to be interesting from a theoret…

Ted Chiang wrote beautifully about exactly this sentiment back in 2017, https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/tedchiang/the-real-dang... His point back then was that corporations themselves create incentives that are indistinguishable from rogue AGI, but I honestly think it applies better to your sentiment about crypto systems

Below is part of a longer essay I wrote in 2000 (to Doug Engelbart's "UnRevII" "Bootstrapping" list): "[unrev-II] Singularity in twenty to forty years?" https://dougengelbart.org/colloquium/forum/discussion/0126.h...

But first, maybe one difference twenty years later is that I would emphasize the idea that our direction out of any singularity may have a lot to do with our moral/political direction going into a singularity, and so we should strive to create a better society right now (e.g. one that is more egalitarian and compassionate -- while also dynamically balancing meshwork/hierarchy issues like Manuel De Landa wrote about). The biggest issue humanity faces right now isn't "rogue AI" -- it is narrowly selfish people using computer technology to exploit other people in various ways (or at least create a technosphere which does that, with extensive intrusive monitoring and attention direction). A tangentially-related new book on part of that is "Stolen Focus" by Johann Hari. https://web.archive.org/web/20220126161142/https://stolenfoc... (An archive link as site seems to be down at the moment.)

Also related on focus issues: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Center_for_Humane_Technology

I'm all for using electronic systems in a Kanban-like way to coordinate work in a community (including ones with Merkle trees of hashes for audit trails) -- where I have long been a fan of "LETS" systems. https://web.archive.org/web/20190311081102/http://www.lets-l...

But cryptocurrency as a financial movement is more like Tulipmania (an investment bubble a lot like a Ponzi scheme). As I pointed out on Slashdot in the early days of Bitcoin, it wastes electricity and can be easily forked by changing a seed number.

But what I have come to realize is that the ultimate value in any sort of Kanban-like fiat-currency rationing system (like either Bitcoin or the US dollar) is in the nature of the community with a constitution that uses it and stands behind it. And it is hard to predict what happen in social systems globally. And we do need healthy communities and their formal and informal constitutions to live a good life. Distributed currencies could be part of healthy communities -- but it remains an open question how best they could fit in. Also, as I have written elsewhere, healthy communities have some historically-shaped mix of subsistence, gift, exchange, planned and theft transactions -- and crypto mostly is just about exchange.

One good thing coming out of crypto is that some financial winners in it are putting money into public charity. One such excellent inspiring example: https://futureoflife.org/ "The Future of Life Institute works on reducing global catastrophic and existential risk from powerful technologies"

Anyway, from 2000:

========= machine intelligence is already here =========

I personally think machine evolution is unstoppable, and the best hope for humanity is the noble cowardice of creating refugia and trying, like the duckweed, to create human (and other) life faster than other forces can destroy it.

Note, I'm not saying machine evolution won't have a human component -- in that sense, a corporation or any bureaucracy is already a separate machine intelligence, just not a very smart or resilient one. This sense of the corporation comes out of Langdon Winner's book "Autonomous Technology: Technics out of control as a theme in political thought". http://www.rpi.edu/~winner/ You may have a tough time believing this, but Winner makes a convincing case. He suggests that all successful organizations "reverse-adapt" their goals and their environment to ensure their continued survival.

These corporate machine intelligences are already driving for better machine intelligences -- faster, more efficient, cheaper, and more resilient. People forget that corporate charters used to be routinely revoked for behavior outside the immediate public good, and that corporations were not considered persons until around 1886 (that decision perhaps being the first major example of a machine using the political/social process of its own ends). http://www.adbusters.org/magazine/28/usa.html Corporate charters are granted supposedly because society believe it is in the best interest of society for corporations to exist.

But, when was the last time people were able to pull the "charter" plug on a corporation not acting in the public interest? It's hard, and it will get harder when corporations don't need people to run themselves. http://www.adbusters.org/magazine/23/revokecharter.html http://www.adbusters.org/campaigns/charter/death.html

I'm not saying the people in corporations are evil -- just that they often have very limited choices of actions. If a corporate CEOs do not deliver short term profits they are removed, no matter what they were trying to do. Obviously there are exceptions for a while -- William C. Norris of Control Data was one of them, but in general, the exception proves the rule. Fortunately though, even in the worst machines (like in WWII Germany) there were individuals who did what they could to make them more humane ("Schindler's List" being an example).

Look at how much William C. Norris http://www.neii.com/wnorris.htm of Control Data got ridiculed in the 1970s for suggesting the then radical notion that "business exists to meet society's unmet needs". Yet his pioneering efforts in education, employee assistance plans, on-site daycare, urban renewal, and socially-responsible investing are in part what made Minneapolis/St.Paul the great area it is today. Such efforts are now being duplicated to an extent by other companies. Even the company that squashed CDC in the mid 1980s (IBM) has adopted some of those policies and directions. So corporations can adapt when they feel the need.

Obviously, corporations are not all powerful. The world still has some individuals who have wealth to equal major corporations. There are several governments that are as powerful or more so than major corporations. Individuals in corporations can make persuasive pitches about their future directions, and individuals with controlling shares may be able to influence what a corporation does (as far as the market allows). In the long run, many corporations are trying to coexist with people to the extent they need to. But it is not clear what corporations (especially large ones) will do as we approach this singularity -- where AIs and robots are cheaper to employ than people. Today's corporation, like any intelligent machine, is more than the sum of its parts (equipment, goodwill, IP, cash, credit, and people). It's "plug" is not easy to pull, and it can't be easily controlled against its short term interests.

What sort of laws and rules will be needed then? If the threat of corporate charter revocation is still possible by governments and collaborations of individuals, in what new directions will corporations have to be prodded? What should a "smart" corporation do if it sees this coming? (Hopefully adapt to be nicer more quickly. :-) What can individuals and governments do to ensure corporations "help meet society's unmet needs"?

Evolution can be made to work in positive ways, by selective breeding, the same way we got so many breeds of dogs and cats. How can we intentionally breed "nice" corporations that are symbiotic with the humans that inhabit them? To what extent is this happening already as talented individuals leave various dysfunctional, misguided, or rouge corporations (or act as "whistle blowers")? I don't say here the individual directs the corporation against its short term interest. I say that individuals affect the selective survival rates of corporations with various goals (and thus corporate evolution) by where they choose to work, what they do there, and how they interact with groups that monitor corporations. To that extent, individuals have some limited control over corporations even when they are not shareholders. Someday, thousands of years from now, corporations may finally have been bred to take the long term view and play an "infinite game".

=========

Re: Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

#118

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, it’s not about that. I put a lot of it down to love of authority. Lots of folks can’t understand why anyone would want some money that didn’t have men with guns to save them. “My bank is safe”. These folks are trusting. Government will save the day. And some don’t trust anyone. Hate banks. Love technology. See how detaching monetary systems from authority provides freedom. It’s about trust. I trust none. Bitcoin…

As a counterpoint I'm a libertarian and very anti centralization. I see libertarians arguing for bitcoin alone the same lines as you. A decentralized medium of exchange might be nice, but as it is, cryptocurrency fails to address any of the concerns with fiat, and most importantly is a scam who's value is entirely based on speculation / greater fool, and not on it's utility as a medium of exchange. From what I've see…

> cryptocurrency fails to address any of the concerns with fiat

This comment coming from a libertarian is a head-scratcher.

The biggest concern about fiat currencies from a libertarian perspective is that the government can inflate the currency at will with no real transparency possible.

Crypto generally eliminates this concern, either by having a fixed quantity of coins or a known inflation amount, and basically perfect transparency being possible through looking at the blockchain.

Re: Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

#119

You’re asking this on HN so are likely to get 95% of people agreeing with you from confirmation bias alone. Median HN hates cryptocurrency. I’d probably suggest this: https://www.matthuang.com/bitcoin_for_the_open_minded_skepti... I think it’s not “all a scam”, but there are definitely scammers in the community which add a lot of noise to what’s a pretty cool new capability to handle decentralized state. https://danr…

You don't list any so I'll bite, I guess. What "cryptocurrency" company isn't a "scam" as basically defined in the post?

It’s not we’ll defined in the post, but there are some easy examples.

Rainbow wallet is just working on a wallet with nicer UX: https://rainbow.me/

OpenSea, Coinbase, FTX - basic exchanges supporting the market.

Trezor and Ledger make nice hardware wallets.

If you’re specifically asking about companies that have their own token for something, I think urbit’s use of NFTs as IDs for their network is a cool use that makes sense.

The automated money markets are also pretty interesting and not scams.

On the NFT art side, BAYC has been making cool stuff and owning one of them is basically an entry ticket. The community membership aspects of this are more interesting to me, the art and it’s associated status is just what enables that.

I know less about city coins but I like the idea of a way to incentivize a group to do what’s best for the city - could be a way out of NIMBYism. It’s interesting at least.

Cryptocurrency has utility in its current state, but it’s a frontier. I think the Bitcoin for open minded skeptics post does a decent job discussing it.

Re: Ask HN: Does Anyone else working in a crypto company feel this is all a scam?

#120
post #116

> and it feels like a bubble that will burst, sooner if not later There are people who look into the future and perceive this, and to them the effect is an intuitively-scammy feel; and it may even seem like it's a system that is destined to fail. Generally the systems perspective or meta-perspective will be first to call out the scam side here. Things meeting the scammy-feel bar tend to be ephemeral, emotional, the f…

To paraphrase what you said: “It might be a scam but a scam that can maybe fund your own personal retirement so go for it”

Hmm, I'm not comfortable with that summary. I wouldn't just tell anybody to go for it in regard to a situation that may seem like a scam to them.

If I had wanted to summarize myself I would have emphasized the integrative aspect, rather than picking one side of the dichotomy I described.

So maybe to summarize, "your summary might be a summary worth trusting, if you don't care about details or accurate representation" :-)

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