Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

Post by fuzzythinker » Fri, Dec 19, 2025, 5:26 AM UTC

MichaelNolan wrote: post #87

Most to least confident: 1. Bazel is still not widely used outside of massive monorepos. (because its such a pain to use) 2. Solar power will surpass wind power in the US to become the 4th largest source of electricity. https://eia.languagelatte.com/ 3. Starship begins launching real payloads, achieves reusability of the upper stage, and successfully does a ship to ship fuel transfer. 4. Tesla stock has a major corre…

Post by kjellsbells » Fri, Dec 19, 2025, 5:51 AM UTC

xnx wrote: post #91

bayareapsycho wrote: post #76

There will be a cliff in the number of people in this industry. There will be a bunch of senior people floating around the job market and no more junior talent. There will be fewer new grads and the pipelines will dry up. If they go down the route of automating as much as possible, it'll destroy the social pipelines that allow companies to reproduce themselves. I don't think that'll actually happen, but it'll be inte…

Programming may become like typing where people do it for themselves instead of having a secretary.

Post by snvzz » Fri, Dec 19, 2025, 6:05 AM UTC

Post by aadv1k » Fri, Dec 19, 2025, 6:08 AM UTC

scuff3d wrote: post #99

aadv1k wrote: post #98

This is less of a prediction, more of how I see this industry progressing. I really feel "web dev" is going to get highly commoditized by GenAI, by web dev I mean 99% of building CRUD-adjacent apps, we are already seeing it now with tools like Claude Code etc, this pipeline is just going to get more refined, with tigther testing feedback loops, PR-workflows and a CI/CD deployment pipeline which the GenAI will control…

You've left out an absolutely massive swath between "low level systems" and "crud app". There a lot more to the industry then just those two things. And as productivity rises, the complexity and ambition of the projects tackeled will continue to rise. The way we do the work might change, but things aren't going to look as different as people think.

Post by nearlyepic » Fri, Dec 19, 2025, 6:16 AM UTC

sosodev wrote: post #57

tomwojcik wrote: post #54

People's minds will become even lazier due to prolonged daily use of LLMs. They literally won't be able to think for themselves without AI assistance (that's why OpenAI won't fall, btw). Attention spans will drop even lower, causing severe psychological problems. Think 'Digital Dementia 2.0.' Later, LLMs will be portrayed as something evil, yet everyone will still use them. Parents will use them, while telling their…

You do know this reads the same as every pessimistic commentary on technology ever, right? So many people were convinced that television was going to fry our brains.