Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

(Hope you didn't stake your retirement on bitcoin hitting $200,000!)

Flock and other government tools for watching and controlling you will expand.

Big companies will expand their regulatory capture, especially in medical care. Fingers will continue to be pointed at health insurance as the problem while the real problem of an artificially limited supply of doctors goes unaddressed.

Government agencies will continue their slow bloat as no mechanism exists for government like bankruptcy in the private sector.

Patent trolls will expand their lawsuits and extort more legitimate businesses.

The far left will assassinate more Republican leaders.

But let's just say you have to prepare for 2030. The future of jobs report 2025 by the WEF is also reporting that 40% of employers are planning to reduce their workforce because of AI by 2030. [1]

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42490692

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43041311

The Supreme Court rules against Trump in several important cases (tariffs and birthright citizenship, and a couple of others).

Trump threatens to arrest at least one big tech executive.

LLMs continue to improve, but the rate becomes slow enough that most people realize that AGI is not just around the corner.