11–20 of 42 posts
VCs jobs rely on following and hyping trends. You can safely discount most things they say by a lot.
No such thing will come to pass in the common way you think. This is classic doublespeak. Similar to "You will own nothing and be happy". If you think hard on it, the only way that can be true is by limiting the scope of the number of people involved, and the only way to do that is if a large number of people die, and that is what they mean and intend when they do not explicitly spell out how you get from statement to reality, addressing the complex hidden dependencies.
It is unlikely that any blue-collar job will be impacted aside from the 2nd order effects that occur as displaced workers move to other areas as a necessity for survival.
That won't last long though before the monetary and economic systems break down as they will have more chaotic whipsaws than the labor market.
As for how safe are other jobs. You can expect all white collar low complexity work, normally found in entry level positions on career ladders, and related support staff, to be at extreme risk.
The upper echelon of senior positions, and even mid-level positions are safe, due to the abstract nature of the tasks required, but are confounded by additional costs being imposed by third-parties (i.e. ghost jobs/postings). There's no good way to evaluate you have this degree of experience/knowledge, and worse you lose this type of knowledge if you don't use it regularly.
The career pipeline however is a sequential pipeline. If there is no one going into the pipeline because AI has blocked and replaced the entry-level worker as a surrogate, and there is no one for the mid and senior level people to pass knowledge to because they've all been replaced by an AI it won't happen, and as those mid and senior level people age out you find yourself in a hysteresis problem that cannot be solved in the time period needed. The same as any ponzi scheme. Three stages.
The funding mechanism for almost all companies today ensures this is always a problem for next quarter, creating a cascading failure, or slow motion trainwreck of costs where the employer will be unable to find any labor meeting that criteria for any price by stage 3.
If this happens in critical national dependencies then you get a full blown socio-economic collapse in an environment of ecological overshoot (Malthus/Catton) that is global in nature (via reserve currency). Not pretty, 1/3 of 4bn people might survive such, maybe, and that's as a global population.
We've known how to build resilient systems for quite some time, but resilient systems cost more and in furtherance of globalization optimization has coincided towards brittle single-point-of-failures broadly. It allows the most chaos, which speculators and companies alike use to reap gross profits at everyone elses expense through plausible narratives backed by price fixing.
I'd say anything physical is safer than knowledge jobs.
Translators jobs are going away but the low end is disappearing. Graph ic artists selling logos now need to offer a bigger branding experience.
No jobs will be eliminated. Unless they're aiming to lay people off anyways -- if anything, companies will be slower to hire.
They're already being eliminated... I'm using freelance designers much much less these days because I just don't need them anymore with AI tools. I've seen others use AI so they don't have to hire engineers to build things (basic things like simple websites, but still).
As someone who believes AI will completely eliminate humans I wish I was could only be worried about job security. But to answer your question, AI will ultimately eliminate every job in the sense that if you believe AI will eventually be able do any task, and do it for cheaper than a human labourer, then there would be no reason for you to ever pay a human labourer. The best analogy here is probably how the industria…
Not because of robots (but that will come soon enough), but because you can take a picture of leaky plumbing or a home maintenance task and upload it and ask for step by step directions on how to DIY.
I’ve saved thousands doing this already this month alone.
The VC idea is incorrect. AI in some areas where companies compete like sales is just adding to the arms race. It's also rising expectations making products more complex. It's being used to make presentations better which is raising expectations. Translators jobs are going away but the low end is disappearing. Graph ic artists selling logos now need to offer a bigger branding experience.
So yes, they save on translation short term, but by making your product unprofessional.
As someone who believes AI will completely eliminate humans I wish I was could only be worried about job security. But to answer your question, AI will ultimately eliminate every job in the sense that if you believe AI will eventually be able do any task, and do it for cheaper than a human labourer, then there would be no reason for you to ever pay a human labourer. The best analogy here is probably how the industria…
I think it’s already having an effect on labor jobs too, and will continue to ramp. Not because of robots (but that will come soon enough), but because you can take a picture of leaky plumbing or a home maintenance task and upload it and ask for step by step directions on how to DIY. I’ve saved thousands doing this already this month alone.
There are no "safe jobs" in capitalism.