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Ask HN: How will be the future of software development?

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Re: Ask HN: How will be the future of software development?

#11

I think that software development has peaked. Not because of GenAI but because of saturation and lack of innovation. The primary value prop of tech has always been automation, and there has been very little new automation lately. Google and Facebook have already perfected the automation of surveillance and advertising. Streaming services have already solved the automation of content delivery. Cloud services are stagn…

> Either it fulfills the promise and delivers full AGI, rendering all software devs obsolete. Or, its a dud, undermining the value proposition of automation.

It isn't binary. There is a LOT of territory between those two extremes.

Re: Ask HN: How will be the future of software development?

#12

I think that software development has peaked. Not because of GenAI but because of saturation and lack of innovation. The primary value prop of tech has always been automation, and there has been very little new automation lately. Google and Facebook have already perfected the automation of surveillance and advertising. Streaming services have already solved the automation of content delivery. Cloud services are stagn…

> Either it fulfills the promise and delivers full AGI, rendering all software devs obsolete. Or, its a dud, undermining the value proposition of automation. It isn't binary. There is a LOT of territory between those two extremes.

Of course. The bridge still needs to be built, with all it's on-ramps and off-ramps. That's where all the current excitement and "innovation" is right now. I don't think software development as a profession is disappearing tomorrow, or anytime soon. But I do think it signals the peak.
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