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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#11

Post by kwant_kiddo »

- Google will lose the 30% tax on their app store and so will Apple.

- OpenAI is going dominate the AI-space (again).

- Inflation will continue to go down, and we will see inflation at ~2 % at the end of 2024.

- Trump will be favoring the american election starting at the end of 2024.

- Ukraine will be forced to start negotiations on giving up land to Russia.

- a JSON parser will be accepted into the C++ standard, but still no official package manager, just kidding =)

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#12

Post by [deleted] »

kwant_kiddo wrote: post #11

- Google will lose the 30% tax on their app store and so will Apple. - OpenAI is going dominate the AI-space (again). - Inflation will continue to go down, and we will see inflation at ~2 % at the end of 2024. - Trump will be favoring the american election starting at the end of 2024. - Ukraine will be forced to start negotiations on giving up land to Russia. - a JSON parser will be accepted into the C++ standard, bu…

[deleted]

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#16

Post by mydogcanpurr »

kwant_kiddo wrote: post #11

- Google will lose the 30% tax on their app store and so will Apple. - OpenAI is going dominate the AI-space (again). - Inflation will continue to go down, and we will see inflation at ~2 % at the end of 2024. - Trump will be favoring the american election starting at the end of 2024. - Ukraine will be forced to start negotiations on giving up land to Russia. - a JSON parser will be accepted into the C++ standard, bu…

You know the US presidential election happens in 2024, right?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#17

Post by timthelion »

While a formalized concept of 'turing completeness' which could prove the equality of sufficiently advanced LLMs will not exist yet, it will become clear that all models of a certain capability are equally capable(just as all CPUs are equally capable) and LLMs will become a comodity traded by speed, price and context window width. Furthermore, it will be realized, that beyond a certain size, larger context windows lead to diminishing output quality and we'll start talking about the theoretical limit for context window size (this will be a function over the amout of training data). OpenAI will still be a valulable company, but there will be at least 5 LLM providers to choose from and none will significantly outshine the rest.

At least one company will raise over $1billion on entirely fraudulent AI (using gpt's API and sleight of hand).

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#18

Post by snowpid »

david927 wrote: post #6

Not long ago, Xi said, "Right now there are changes, the likes of which we haven't seen for 100 years..." I think he's referring to the establishment of BRICS and neutral settlement, and he sees the days of the dollar(petrodollar) as waning. But there are huge ramifications to that. The coming year could end up being note-worthy.

Si Jiping is a dictator and not a wise thinker.
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