Not mine. I almost exclusively write glue code that forms a bridge between internal, closed data structures and a firmament of third party libraries. How's an AI going to help with that?
Ask HN: Is AI going to replace most programming jobs in the next 10 years?
11–19 of 19 posts
Re: Ask HN: Is AI going to replace most programming jobs in the next 10 years?
#12no comment but i hope for greater breakthroughs in that field.
Re: Ask HN: Is AI going to replace most programming jobs in the next 10 years?
#13Not AI.
Platforms like Microsoft's PowerApps or Shopify will. If you think about it most needs of small and medium enterprises can be met with a combination of office 365 and dynamics 365 without the need for a programmer.
Anyone with mild technical skills can figure out most of Microsoft's Power Platform. Give it 10 years and there will be no market for programmers in such fields.
Re: Ask HN: Is AI going to replace most programming jobs in the next 10 years?
#14AI and LLM are a text interface to code.
Someone still needs to write the prompts.
It’s next level of abstraction.
Re: Ask HN: Is AI going to replace most programming jobs in the next 10 years?
#15I don't think so. Even some mildly complex CRUD app cannot be done decently with no-code or other smarter code-generation tools. "Templated" software has already been productized where it's actually possibile (e.g. Shopify).
Bue let's even suppose such AI exists, then someone would need to instruct it, check and test its output (is it safe code? is it using a dismissed library? etc.).
At least I don't see it happening soon enough to be worried.
Re: Ask HN: Is AI going to replace most programming jobs in the next 10 years?
#16Anyone who thinks it will is absolutely out to lunch, we're nowhere near that. We're at such a crude level with AI that even automated car driving is far out of reach. The amount of "intelligence" in our current AI is laughable and there's no reason to believe there will be significant progress in the next 10 years.
My guess is this will literally NEVER be a thing.
Re: Ask HN: Is AI going to replace most programming jobs in the next 10 years?
#17The easier stuff to do will certainly be made redundant by something similar to stable diffusion.
Re: Ask HN: Is AI going to replace most programming jobs in the next 10 years?
#18As with any other kind of automation, if AI takes over programming jobs, that will introduce a new kind of job in itself (I don't know which kind of job... maybe one in which programmers have to review/double check the code the AI has produced? They won't be programmers anymore, but they'll get a different name I guess). So, the programmers who don't adapt and become, let's say, "AI-code checkers", they will be jobless. The programmers who can adapt, will still have a job.
I don't see any difference here. Same has happened before:
- programmers who were punching cards
- programmers who were writting assembly
- programmers who were writting C code
- programmers who are wiring SAAS APIs together
- programmers who are reviewing AI code
- etc.
Re: Ask HN: Is AI going to replace most programming jobs in the next 10 years?
#19And who will be programming the AI?