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Ask HN: Next big thing in Computer Science or tech according to you?

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11–20 of 24 posts

Re: Ask HN: Next big thing in Computer Science or tech according to you?

#11

A new JavaScript framework is not "the next big thing". It's the next thing that everybody's going to jump on as a bandwagon, but that's not the same thing at all. The actual next big thing? Not a language. Not some hardware change ( I mean, ARM servers could be big, but only the server people will care. It won't be the Next Big Thing.) Not block chain - that's close to played out. Not machine learning - that's too f…

Why do you doubt quantum computing?

Re: Ask HN: Next big thing in Computer Science or tech according to you?

#13
post #12

Security and privacy will be the next big thing or else no one will use computers in the future and there will be no computer science.

Maybe some more practical and less costly formal verification?

There are some signs Rust is heading in this direction.

Efforts like Dafny are also pretty interesting, but still far from mainstream.

I think a large codebase (20-40 KLOC) is about the maximum one can routinely verify in Dafny before stuff gets too hard. And coding speed is pretty slow.

Re: Ask HN: Next big thing in Computer Science or tech according to you?

#14
post #12

Security and privacy will be the next big thing or else no one will use computers in the future and there will be no computer science.

This is peak HN bubblism. No, people don't actually care about security or privacy if one looks at their revealed preferences and not what they say they value (see how many still use Google for example). People will continue to use computers as long as it serves a need for them.

Re: Ask HN: Next big thing in Computer Science or tech according to you?

#15
IMHO Apple’s AR/VR device will be another incremental but major milestone for mainstream VR.

Stable Diffusion is already making waves in digital art. I expect more specialized models fairly soon.

Free data and services we used to take for granted like YouTube, farming software, and car seat heaters are becoming forcefully monetized. Will we someday refer to these as the good old days when search engines were “free”?

Solar

Re: Ask HN: Next big thing in Computer Science or tech according to you?

#16
post #12

Security and privacy will be the next big thing or else no one will use computers in the future and there will be no computer science.

This is peak HN bubblism. No, people don't actually care about security or privacy if one looks at their revealed preferences and not what they say they value (see how many still use Google for example). People will continue to use computers as long as it serves a need for them.

Which is why government regulations exist.

Re: Ask HN: Next big thing in Computer Science or tech according to you?

#17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not entirely fair to JS frameworks. There hasn't been a major new framework in years, with Angular, Vue and especially React dominating the ecosystem. React in particular presents a unique way of thinking about and composing UIs and the model has leaked into plenty of other ecosystems, for example SwiftUI which borrows heavily from it. The reason new frameworks can't dislodge the big 3 is because they aren't b…

What's your opinion about Svelte? Has it made any big contributions to the ecosystem? Isn't the syntax and in general the way of creating components more intuitive with Svelte in comparison to for example React?

It might be more intuitive for some, although that's a very subjective term. It's too much like react to really displace it, imo.

Re: Ask HN: Next big thing in Computer Science or tech according to you?

#18

Not quantum computing - that's a dead end as far as I can tell. I think the next big thing will be Capability Based Security -- the good kind, not the "allow location access" kind that people confuse it with. I also look forward to the resurgence of the personal computer.

Why is quantum computing a dead end?

Because the algorithms that offer "quantum supremacy" all are effectively analog algorithms, and rely on phase shifts to do the heavy lifting. Any small phase shifts get amplified quickly and swamp the usefulness.

All known "quantum error correction" algorithms are focused on not flipping qubits, and ignore phase.

For instance, using Grover's algorithm to crack a 128 bit key requires 2^64 quantum operations in sequence. To make this happen your phase shift and interaction between the qubits has to be low enough that it doesn't accumulate to the level sufficient to flip a single qubit in all that time.

You'd need signal to noise ratios of about 380 dB to make this happen. This would be 220 dB more!!! than detecting the signal from the Voyager (10^-20 watts) probe right next to a SuperNova explosion (10^40 watts)

Re: Ask HN: Next big thing in Computer Science or tech according to you?

#19
post #12

Security and privacy will be the next big thing or else no one will use computers in the future and there will be no computer science.

This is peak HN bubblism. No, people don't actually care about security or privacy if one looks at their revealed preferences and not what they say they value (see how many still use Google for example). People will continue to use computers as long as it serves a need for them.

Apple pushes the security angle as a big differentiator. Source: https://www.apple.com/privacy/ The title of that page says "Privacy.That’s Apple.".

I think as people get more knowledgeable of tech they will care more about security or privacy. It is already a big selling point of messaging applications.

Re: Ask HN: Next big thing in Computer Science or tech according to you?

#20

A new JavaScript framework is not "the next big thing". It's the next thing that everybody's going to jump on as a bandwagon, but that's not the same thing at all. The actual next big thing? Not a language. Not some hardware change ( I mean, ARM servers could be big, but only the server people will care. It won't be the Next Big Thing.) Not block chain - that's close to played out. Not machine learning - that's too f…

Why do you doubt quantum computing?

Quantum computing will revolutionize some areas. I doubt that it will revolutionize computer science as a whole. I think that there are many more categories of problems that it won't change than categories that it will.
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