Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: Which startups are thriving in the downturn?

news.ycombinator.com

11–20 of 123 posts

Re: Ask HN: Which startups are thriving in the downturn?

#12
I find the whole "economic gloom" sentiment a bit odd. We're at extremely low unemployment, and GDP took a small dip in Q1/Q2 but is projected to start growing again in the second half of the year. The S&P 500 is down less than 10% from it's all-time high.

Inflation was an issue for a while, but a lot of that seemed to be driven more by temporary supply constraints in certain sectors than any actual currency devaluation, and inflation already seems to be dying down anyway. The recent interest rate hikes also didn't seem to have nearly as much impact on the markets as everyone feared they would.

What exactly is everyone so scared about that we all seem to think the economy is headed for a major recession?

Re: Ask HN: Which startups are thriving in the downturn?

#13
post #12

I find the whole "economic gloom" sentiment a bit odd. We're at extremely low unemployment, and GDP took a small dip in Q1/Q2 but is projected to start growing again in the second half of the year. The S&P 500 is down less than 10% from it's all-time high. Inflation was an issue for a while, but a lot of that seemed to be driven more by temporary supply constraints in certain sectors than any actual currency devaluat…

Knowing people that make under 60k a year, and how harder their lives got and how hard it is to pay back loans and other obligations they where ulitmately strong armed into taking to improve their position. Not to mention how alot of western nations have a large majority of people are pay check to pay check regardless of their tax bracket.

Working class is a good litmus of how the economy is doing vs S&P because speculation can ultimately make it look like everything is fine until it isn't

Re: Ask HN: Which startups are thriving in the downturn?

#15
post #12

I find the whole "economic gloom" sentiment a bit odd. We're at extremely low unemployment, and GDP took a small dip in Q1/Q2 but is projected to start growing again in the second half of the year. The S&P 500 is down less than 10% from it's all-time high. Inflation was an issue for a while, but a lot of that seemed to be driven more by temporary supply constraints in certain sectors than any actual currency devaluat…

I feel like everyone is freaking out because we went from almost unprecedentedly high tech valuations in 2021 back to ~historical norms today, which feels bad. Example: For all of the years that I was working in SaaS between 2008 - Covid, I assumed that I should plan for a ~10x revenue multiple in the optimistic case.

Re: Ask HN: Which startups are thriving in the downturn?

#17
post #9

FTX exchange seems to be going great and doing fine. Tons of revenue, very low head count and lots of cash at their disposal. So much, that they are offering to take over other failing startups affected by the downturn. That is a sign of a company that will survive in the long term since they are thriving even in these conditions.

They have a lot of cash, but SBF theoretically could close shop and cash out if he feels the amount of money he will be able to donate will be down for the longterm. The entire point of FTX, ultimately, is to take money from crypto traders and put it into Effective Altruism charities.

Re: Ask HN: Which startups are thriving in the downturn?

#19
post #9

FTX exchange seems to be going great and doing fine. Tons of revenue, very low head count and lots of cash at their disposal. So much, that they are offering to take over other failing startups affected by the downturn. That is a sign of a company that will survive in the long term since they are thriving even in these conditions.

They have a lot of cash, but SBF theoretically could close shop and cash out if he feels the amount of money he will be able to donate will be down for the longterm. The entire point of FTX, ultimately, is to take money from crypto traders and put it into Effective Altruism charities.

No post body was provided.

Re: Ask HN: Which startups are thriving in the downturn?

#20
post #12

I find the whole "economic gloom" sentiment a bit odd. We're at extremely low unemployment, and GDP took a small dip in Q1/Q2 but is projected to start growing again in the second half of the year. The S&P 500 is down less than 10% from it's all-time high. Inflation was an issue for a while, but a lot of that seemed to be driven more by temporary supply constraints in certain sectors than any actual currency devaluat…

> and inflation already seems to be dying down anyway.

I̶ ̶d̶o̶n̶'̶t̶ ̶k̶n̶o̶w̶ ̶i̶f̶ ̶I̶'̶m̶ ̶t̶h̶a̶t̶ ̶o̶p̶t̶i̶m̶i̶s̶t̶i̶c̶.̶ ̶I̶ ̶t̶h̶i̶n̶k̶ ̶i̶n̶f̶l̶a̶t̶i̶o̶n̶ ̶i̶s̶ ̶s̶t̶i̶l̶l̶ ̶8̶.̶5̶%̶ ̶m̶o̶n̶t̶h̶-̶t̶o̶-̶m̶o̶n̶t̶h̶ ̶a̶n̶d̶ ̶o̶n̶l̶y̶ ̶d̶o̶w̶n̶ ̶0̶.̶6̶%̶ ̶f̶r̶o̶m̶ ̶p̶r̶e̶v̶i̶o̶u̶s̶ ̶m̶o̶n̶t̶h̶.̶ ̶W̶e̶'̶d̶ ̶n̶e̶e̶d̶ ̶s̶e̶v̶e̶r̶a̶l̶ ̶m̶o̶n̶t̶h̶s̶ ̶o̶f̶ ̶d̶r̶o̶p̶s̶ ̶t̶o̶ ̶c̶o̶n̶c̶l̶u̶d̶e̶ ̶t̶h̶a̶t̶ ̶i̶n̶f̶l̶a̶t̶i̶o̶n̶ ̶i̶s̶ ̶e̶a̶s̶i̶n̶g̶.̶ ̶I̶ ̶p̶e̶r̶s̶o̶n̶a̶l̶l̶y̶ ̶d̶o̶n̶'̶t̶ ̶s̶e̶e̶ ̶a̶n̶y̶ ̶p̶r̶i̶c̶e̶ ̶d̶r̶o̶p̶s̶ ̶o̶n̶ ̶t̶h̶e̶ ̶t̶h̶i̶n̶g̶s̶ ̶I̶ ̶a̶c̶t̶u̶a̶l̶l̶y̶ ̶u̶s̶e̶ ̶-̶ ̶f̶o̶o̶d̶,̶ ̶g̶a̶s̶ ̶a̶n̶d̶ ̶h̶o̶u̶s̶i̶n̶g̶.̶ ̶A̶l̶l̶ ̶r̶e̶m̶a̶i̶n̶ ̶s̶i̶g̶n̶i̶f̶i̶c̶a̶n̶t̶l̶y̶ ̶e̶l̶e̶v̶a̶t̶e̶d̶ ̶i̶n̶ ̶c̶o̶m̶p̶a̶r̶i̶s̶o̶n̶ ̶t̶o̶ ̶a̶ ̶y̶e̶a̶r̶ ̶a̶g̶o̶.̶

Post reply on HN