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Ask HN: Fed Rate Hike today – 50, 75 or 100 BPS?

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Re: Ask HN: Fed Rate Hike today – 50, 75 or 100 BPS?

#14
post #11

def 50 bps. i will be very shocked if it is not 50bps. NOw, 0.75bps is questionable but given how behind fed is it is probable but they are in the business post '08 of not surprisng the market.

are you shocked

very much so after all the appeasing by Mr. Powell that 0.75 is dramatic. This u-turn makes me nervous because 1. he said inflation was transitory 2. oh, we wont' raise interest rate fast 3. crap, we are behind lets go 0.50bps 4. my god, we are really really behind, lets go 0.75bps and mother of all 5. no recession here, economy is strong, solid job #. Recession is coming folks.

Re: Ask HN: Fed Rate Hike today – 50, 75 or 100 BPS?

#15
post #12

50bps. Fed rarely surprises the market (so either 50bps or 75bps) plus 50bps gives the market a bit of breath that it needs, given that it got hammered pretty badly.

it is 75 and so far stocks are up

Yeah I got the rate wrong :(
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