There is the possibility of a change of leadership. It's obviously not the most probable outcome. But as long as we're doing armchair speculation, I'll toss out that a change of leadership is at least slightly more possible in Russia than in North Korea. (A recent CBC video even offered this detail. "UK intelligence services claim they are seeing strong dissension among senior military officers about Putin's invasion…
He is about 70. I'd say a change is more likely than not in the next 10 years.
He looks puffed up compared to 2018. Corticosteroids?