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Ask HN: How many signups should an app realistically expect in the first month?

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Re: Ask HN: How many signups should an app realistically expect in the first month?

#11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The idea literally came up as I watched my wife split proceeds from a workshop she held with a couple of other instructors. Seemed like a hassle to translate the % splits to actual amounts, figure out/confirm wiring details, and then decide when to wire...I would also think the other instructors were wondering when their share was going to hit. So I stood there thinking, what if she could pre-set percentage share, an…

I think I understand when this is most relevant: when there are many different things being sold that each need to have a different split. In my mind I was thinking of a team that sold multiple products, but where the split would always remain the same. > In summary, the app is for any group that is receiving proceeds from the sale of a service or product, that wants to avoid the hassles of splitting proceeds after t…

Thanks again for the feedback. The middleman that does division is a good one!...but actually may be the simple reality...

I am going to take all this feedback and have a think.

Thanks again.

Re: Ask HN: How many signups should an app realistically expect in the first month?

#12
I am no expert in this but have worked at a few early-stage startups so hopefully my advice can help a bit.

Marketing is really, really hard. Even user research is an entire profession. You've done well to attract your first signups, but looking to grow organically from zero may let you down. If you can trial this with a real person then you have a user and case study to write about. You can start thinking, talking and designing for users rather than analysis.

The https://www.korabo.io homepage looks like a holding page rather than a signup page for a live product. I think a lot of this is because the background is too stock-image-y. It isn't fantastic that it leads to a signup form with no context, but one improvement at a time.

For a new product it probably isn't worth building a flashy homepage. But you need to have some sort of intro to draw people into the site and state that it's a functioning product. Taking https://basecamp.com as an example, the top two paragraphs say a lot in very readable language. Compare Flesch Reading Ease using https://datayze.com/readability-analyzer and try to come up with a pitch that does better than your blog post :)

Re: Ask HN: How many signups should an app realistically expect in the first month?

#13
I got a thousand users the first month on an app that went well. And about 200/month on something that doesn't go so well. This is also a small market, about 1/10 the size of the US.

I'll be frank here. It's like a date. If you don't think it's going well, it probably isn't. It might be doing okay, but it's probably better to move on.

If people aren't lining up to give you their money, it's likely not working. If it is working, your focus would be scaling, dealing with complaints, getting frustrated yet excited that there's too much to do.

That doesn't necessarily mean the product is wrong. It could mean you have the wrong market, wrong marketing channel, wrong pricing model (imagine if Facebook tried to charge membership or Netflix tried to monetize from microtransactions), wrong pitch.

One thing that always works for me is asking, who is the best competitor? And trying to build a product that is 10x better.

How do people do split proceeds now? They write out the math on a piece of paper, transfer to friends. Cash or click click bank account details. Is your product 10x better? Probably not. It's not too hard to do as it is, and it's more effort to sign up.

What about someone who does this a lot? Course seller, or freelance teachers for a studio. Well, they probably have done it in a contract, where they collect a sum and then pay it out. It's a burden, but is it a burden worth paying 6% + the cost of figuring out a new system?

Your fee system could be off too - I strongly dislike pushing fees to customers, because it feels like a dodgy 'hidden cost' thing. The reason people offer "free" shipping (i.e. write costs into the price) is because this puts off customers.

Alright, so who would actually have this issue so badly that they would be happy to pay 6% to get it off their hands?

A large scale company probably has integrated it into payroll, and at some point it's cheaper to just hire someone to split the bill. So you'll want something medium sized, maybe hectic and complex. Event management perhaps? Or training. If so, you'll actually want to be approaching those target clients directly and asking them. Asking your friends and family, or posting on HN will likely just give you fake data - your effective customer base could be 0, but is being floated up by supportive people.

Re: Ask HN: How many signups should an app realistically expect in the first month?

#15
post #13

I got a thousand users the first month on an app that went well. And about 200/month on something that doesn't go so well. This is also a small market, about 1/10 the size of the US. I'll be frank here. It's like a date. If you don't think it's going well, it probably isn't. It might be doing okay, but it's probably better to move on. If people aren't lining up to give you their money, it's likely not working. If it…

First off, thank you for taking the time reply.

I would be ecstatic with 1000 users, and would definitely give me motivation to continue to build. Out of curiosity what was the state of the 1000 user 1st month vs. 200 user 1st month? Were they both pretty much complete apps? Or still in a MVPish state?

I was torn between spending more time developing before releasing or get some sort of validation to avoid the “building a solution for no ones problem”, and really was getting drained spending hours on developing. Maybe a bit of burnout being a solo dev working on this. I wanted to be reinvigorated by some level of validation.

Generally feels like the bar for getting any validation/feedback is higher, as the general consumer wants a shiny, not buggy, fully functioning app before even dipping their toe in.

Agreed its not 10x better for most people, but do think there is a convenience factor and some price that someone might be willing to pay for that maybe not 6%, but the 6% covers stripe charges (processing & payouts to connected accounts)

With regards to the pushing fee to customers, my logic was that a possible user would be pushed off by the 6% charge, and not even try out the application (albeit everything else about the app is pushing them away anyway!)

Thanks again.

Re: Ask HN: How many signups should an app realistically expect in the first month?

#17
post #12

I am no expert in this but have worked at a few early-stage startups so hopefully my advice can help a bit. Marketing is really, really hard. Even user research is an entire profession. You've done well to attract your first signups, but looking to grow organically from zero may let you down. If you can trial this with a real person then you have a user and case study to write about. You can start thinking, talking a…

Thanks very much. Yeah, I may go back and just focus on the 1 user I know that specifically had the problem build out the application, and confirm its of some use and think about marketing.

The 2 examples you provided are great...thanks a lot. Think its going to take some time flesh things out!

Re: Ask HN: How many signups should an app realistically expect in the first month?

#18
post #13

I got a thousand users the first month on an app that went well. And about 200/month on something that doesn't go so well. This is also a small market, about 1/10 the size of the US. I'll be frank here. It's like a date. If you don't think it's going well, it probably isn't. It might be doing okay, but it's probably better to move on. If people aren't lining up to give you their money, it's likely not working. If it…

First off, thank you for taking the time reply. I would be ecstatic with 1000 users, and would definitely give me motivation to continue to build. Out of curiosity what was the state of the 1000 user 1st month vs. 200 user 1st month? Were they both pretty much complete apps? Or still in a MVPish state? I was torn between spending more time developing before releasing or get some sort of validation to avoid the “build…

The app with 1000 users was horribly buggy. Statistically, it crashed 3 times per active user per day (memory leak with photo scrolling). But the thing is that it was crashing 3 times/day and not 1 time/day, meaning that users kept using it. This was 2015, but even today, I'm working on a glitchy unpolished app, and customers just keep using it.

The app with 200 users is http://random-character-generator.com

So generally, I disagree that customers want something fully functional. But fintech is a big exception, because people want something solid before trusting it their money to it. We made up for our glitches by handling payment in person (Automated WhatsApp messages and bank account transfers, rather than shopping carts).

I still think that validation is #1 priority, because you'll probably have to build a dozen prototypes before you get to something people want. Our app with 1k users was ironically a low risk prototype. We were making a recipe app, but decided to test user behaviour by making a low carb variation first. Turned out that there's a lot more demand for low carb recipes than any recipes.

Re: Ask HN: How many signups should an app realistically expect in the first month?

#19
post #3

1. Don't get discouraged. As a founder myself, I can tell you this: "this is just the Beginning of the beginning of the beginning" 2. If you truly believe your idea is worth it, and have some cash set aside, I highly recommend you hire someone to build a decent website. I actually went with https://draftss.com/ - if you truly know what you want, you should have a logo + website ready within one month or so. I know it…

Thanks a lot! Yes, its sometimes easy to get discouraged, especially when you realize there is a gap between personal expectations and reality. I wasn't aware of the service draftss but it seems like I can outsource the branding, which I really need help with. With regards to marketing, it really may be best to out source once I get the landing page in order per @photon_off comments. Trying to do everything by onesel…

Glad to help! Yeah, about that service - as I said, once you know exactly what you want, they're awesome.

For sure, doing everything yourself is not the way to go -- there's simply too much to do :)

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