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Ask HN: How much have you saved for retirement?

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Re: Ask HN: How much have you saved for retirement?

#11
I'm 24 and have 10k in Wealthsimple because I can't be bothered to learn more about how to manage my investments myself right now (and I've been a dumbass with money for the past 6 years).

WS tells me I'll have ~$5,222,649 when I'm 65 if I continually add $5k/mo to my invesments.

They say "We include your scheduled contributions into this projection and assume a return of 5.1-5.45% on stocks and 0.74-1.05% on bonds after 0.5% fees. The impact of taxes is not included. Actual returns may differ."

My ideal plan is to have ~$600k+ in investments and withdraw 1-2%/yr to cover food costs. I'm looking at some 200-300 acre stretches of land for around $150k~ in Canada where I plan to build a house myself. Looking to hookup solar and for a freshwater lake to be running through the land. The goal is to self sustain for however long I need to so I can think and work on my hobbies without the overhead of rent/career.

I feel like trying to scrape together an hour or two here and there for a hobby doesn't do anything for me because I'm working on things that require large stretches of uninterrupted time over the span of weeks/months.

Re: Ask HN: How much have you saved for retirement?

#12

I'm 24 and have 10k in Wealthsimple because I can't be bothered to learn more about how to manage my investments myself right now (and I've been a dumbass with money for the past 6 years). WS tells me I'll have ~$5,222,649 when I'm 65 if I continually add $5k/mo to my invesments. They say "We include your scheduled contributions into this projection and assume a return of 5.1-5.45% on stocks and 0.74-1.05% on bonds a…

How much are you earning if you can afford to drop $60k/year in investments?

Re: Ask HN: How much have you saved for retirement?

#13

I'm 24 and have 10k in Wealthsimple because I can't be bothered to learn more about how to manage my investments myself right now (and I've been a dumbass with money for the past 6 years). WS tells me I'll have ~$5,222,649 when I'm 65 if I continually add $5k/mo to my invesments. They say "We include your scheduled contributions into this projection and assume a return of 5.1-5.45% on stocks and 0.74-1.05% on bonds a…

How much are you earning if you can afford to drop $60k/year in investments?

Roughly $85k net.

Re: Ask HN: How much have you saved for retirement?

#17

Nothing... because methane in the arctic will end human civilization by then. http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/extinction.html?m=1 It makes more sense to take big risks with money and then use any big payoffs to help geoengineering efforts or prepare for living in a bunker. That may sound silly but some rich people are already doing that: http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2017/01/30/doomsday-prep-f...

Nice, went from a pleasant Sunday afternoon to full panic mode in less than two articles.

Re: Ask HN: How much have you saved for retirement?

#18
If you live in a place like the Bay Area, the best retirement plan involves these 4 steps:

1. Owning a home in the Bay Area by the time you retire. No mortgage, no rent. Just bills.

2. Sell that place when you retire in order to move to a cheaper location. Use whatever's left from the sale of your home as an income for the rest of your life. Let's take a $800K home for example, if you make $150K per year, you may qualify after 2-3 years by saving as much cash as you can for a down payment. That house/condo might be worth 1.5 to 2 million dollars in 30 years from now, who knows? Despite the inflation, if you sale it for say $1.5, after tax and real estate fee you might end up with $1.2 net. This is not income money. You could then buy a $500K house somewhere cheap, then use the remaining $700K as part of your retirement money, which brings in $35K net per year for 20 years. This is roughly the equivalent of $50K gross income per year.

3. Make sure to add a little bit in your personal saving account every month, even if it's $100-$500 it's fair enough on a 30 year period.

4. Make sure you add up a little bit in your 401K.

The combination of all 4 will maximize your retirement while leaving in your own place. Real estate in a place like the Bay Area is the best investment because of the location. It doesn't matter if it's a tiny 1 bedroom in San Francisco or a crappy old house in South Bay, it will hold its value over the years and will most likely help you moving to a cheaper place with a lot of cash in hands.

Re: Ask HN: How much have you saved for retirement?

#19
I'm 35, and have been saving for retirement and maxing out my 401(k) ever since I started working. I don't think I'll ever have 4 million dollars in my retirement account, but I think (hope?) I'll be fine.

I think it's the numbers that are suspect in this analysis.

1. The calculator asks for your salary, then uses your current salary to determine your need for money in retirement. If you're saving 20% of your salary, then really you are only living on 80%, and that 80% should be used as your 'living expenses money'.

(fine print of calculator: We then assume you can live comfortably off of 85% of your pre-retirement income. So if you earn $100,000 the year you retire, we estimate you will need $85,000 during the first year of retirement.

I think it should be at least 85% of what you're not saving. For example, if you're making 100k, saving 20k, then really you should take 85% of 80k, which is 68 - not 85.

Also costs change as you get older. While you may spend more for health care, you hopefully won't have to pay rent, for raising children, etc.

Finally, they seem to say they want to take all the money and purchase an annuity. It seems like as soon as you retire, your money stops growing (other than for inflation) because of the annuity, but if you kept that money growing while you were retired, it would probably be even less.

Really the big trouble is you can't rely on ever increasing markets with some 7% yearly rate of return. It could be higher, it could be lower. If it's lower for a long time, basically the US retirement systems (both 401k and pension) are in huge trouble.

Re: Ask HN: How much have you saved for retirement?

#20
This blog post says as a Software Engineer working in the US you should have $4 Million in savings to have the same income, in retirement, as a fresh software engineer

Fidelity is always telling me I need some ungodly amount of money saved in order to continue the lifestyle to which I've become accustomed. I don't need that much. Here's what my current income pays for that won't be an issue in retirement:

1. Maxed out 401K at $18K/year. The wife's doing the same.

2. $3K a month paid to mortgage principal, in addition to the house payment. (It is financially unwise to pay down a 2.5% loan quickly, but I'm not retiring with a house payment.)

3. Commuting expenses.

4. A hell of a lot more eating out than I plan to do in retirement.

5. My current tax rate. A lower tax rate in retirement is the whole basis of the appeal of tax-deferred accounts.

And let me give you some anecdata to work with as you ponder your starvation in retirement: my parents. Mom just bought a brand new Corvette last year. Dad is talking about a new $65K truck to replace the one they bought just a few years ago. The just bought a new $35K fifth wheel camper this year. A large, long-paid-off house on six acres in Florida. Lots of camping trips, which means feeding that hungry diesel truck that's pulling that fifth wheel, and camp spots with hook-ups ain't cheap. Maybe it's not how kings live, but I'd have no problem with the lifestyle. They're in their 70s now, I don't see the money running out any time soon.

And they retired in their 50s with about a million dollars.

You'll need $4 million if you still hold a mortgage in the Bay Area and you're stilling hitting the $EXPENSIVE_NIGHT_SPOT thrice a week, while having Uber Eats delivery your dinner every night. Which you won't be doing when you're 55 or 65 if you have any sense. Which means you don't need anywhere near $4 million.

To get to answering your question, I plan a minimum of $1 million, and a max of $2 million, when we retire. We're not going to continue to live in Redmond, WA, I don't think. Taxes are pretty good, IMO, but we'll sell the Redmond house and buy something in, say, Bellingham and pocket the difference. I have absolutely no reason to believe we'll be anything other than just fine and dandy. Especially considering that the median person of our mid-50s age has less than a tenth of our current savings, and you don't see masses of retired people starving in the streets, do you?

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