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Ask HN: What would you do if you knew the future?

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Ask HN: What would you do if you knew the future?

#1
This is a thought experiment. Let's assume somebody sent you back in time, to the year 1996. Knowing what you know now, you could start companies called Google, Wikipedia, Twitter, Facebook etc. and do everything right from the beginning.

Would you succeed?

Also, would people like Larry, Sergey, or Mark Zuckerberg be virtually unknown in the tech world?

(Surely, there's much more you could do with your knowledge of the future but let's focus on starting companies for now.)

Re: Ask HN: What would you do if you knew the future?

#2
Anything I wanted to.

But first, I would get enough money to completely opt out of doing anything like starting companies, worrying about what anyone thinks, etc., and find a lot of land in the middle of nowhere, drop my own fiber link in at vast cost, and ignore the rest of the world as much as I could.

Re: Ask HN: What would you do if you knew the future?

#5
I think Zepolen is correct, so much comes down to timing. If you look at a lot of the "successes" that you would want to get there before they were reaching slightly beyond current tech/social environment. For example, Flickr/YouTube were predicated on the fact that storage costs were crashing and end user bandwidth was drastically increasing. You couldn't have created them much earlier.

Wikipedia was timed for the explosion of users on the internet allowing for massive crowd sourcing, again you couldn't have gotten there much earlier.

The best way to leverage knowledge like that would be to go back and become the world's most prescient VC. Also avoiding the bubble bursting and the current crash would be great.

I like the idea of going back and getting myself into a position to work on some of these projects though. being able to be there when they happened would be cool

Re: Ask HN: What would you do if you knew the future?

#6
you could start companies called Google, Wikipedia, Twitter, Facebook etc. and do everything right from the beginning

No you couldn't, because you only see these companies from the outside. You might know the idea, but how many search engines, social networks, etc are/were there? Amateurs talk about strategy, professionals discuss logistics.

The one valuable piece of knowledge you'd have would be exactly when to jump from the NASDAQ ship.

Re: Ask HN: What would you do if you knew the future?

#7

I think Zepolen is correct, so much comes down to timing. If you look at a lot of the "successes" that you would want to get there before they were reaching slightly beyond current tech/social environment. For example, Flickr/YouTube were predicated on the fact that storage costs were crashing and end user bandwidth was drastically increasing. You couldn't have created them much earlier. Wikipedia was timed for the e…

I think you are giving way too much importance to idea and timing.

The reason Flickr, Youtube, Wikipedia, etc are succesful because they could execute better than their competitors and that might not change by going back in time.

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