1–10 of 42 posts
Even Bill Gates recently said we might all be out of work soon and won’t need to do anything in an "age of abundance."
How much of this is hype vs. reality?
Which jobs are likely to be completely eliminated by AI and which ones are likely to survive or even thrive?
But no, AI is not going to completely replace developers.
Anything that involves dealing with stakeholders and figuring out how an implementation can add business value, including gathering requirements and managing implementations. But no, AI is not going to completely replace developers.
Anything that involves dealing with stakeholders and figuring out how an implementation can add business value, including gathering requirements and managing implementations. But no, AI is not going to completely replace developers.
One thing I am having a hard time wrap my head around is that in its current form AI might not replace developers or say sales callers completely but what about 3-4 years from now? Does AI continue to get exponentially better or will we hit some kind of tech ceiling due to inherent limitations of LLMs?
You have sometimes dozens of people across multiple departments that you have to coordinate and train.
I can’t say where AI will be. But it might get good enough to know how to do something. It won’t be able to know what to do and what people need.
If you believe this, just buy otm calls on s&p500 and you won’t have to worry about a job.
> anyone in the next year or two because If you believe this, just buy otm calls on s&p500 and you won’t have to worry about a job.
No jobs will be eliminated. Unless they're aiming to lay people off anyways -- if anything, companies will be slower to hire.
I've seen others use AI so they don't have to hire engineers to build things (basic things like simple websites, but still).
But to answer your question, AI will ultimately eliminate every job in the sense that if you believe AI will eventually be able do any task, and do it for cheaper than a human labourer, then there would be no reason for you to ever pay a human labourer.
The best analogy here is probably how the industrial revolution made the horse redundant. It's not that horses can't be used for physically demanding work anymore, it's simply that it's cheaper in practically every imaginable case to use a machine so horses are no longer used.
Of course, machines didn't replace the use of horses in all industries over night and we should expect the same will happen with AI. I'll assume this is what you're asking.
It seems rather obviously to me that knowledge workers will be the easiest to replace with AI – especially knowledge workers who work purely digitally. The hardest work to replace will likely be physical labour since robotics is still very far from biological sophistication required to be competent at many physical jobs. And even when it starts to become competent it's going to take a while to build the robots to replace labourers and do so at a competitive cost.