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Why Wall Street is ignoring big tech's debt [video]

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Re: Why Wall Street is ignoring big tech's debt [video]

#6

to modify sinclair: it is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his bonus depends on his not understanding it

>> when his bonus depends on his not understanding it

As he explains here: https://youtu.be/NufJ7g63KSY?t=1233

Re: Why Wall Street is ignoring big tech's debt [video]

#8
The papers mentioned:

1. — "The Big Market Delusion: Valuation and Investment Implications" - https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3501688

The paper behind the "big market delusion" he discusses.

2. - "Do Stock Prices Fully Reflect Information in Accruals and Cash Flows About Future Earnings?" - https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2598

This is the "accrual anomaly" paper Boyle describes.

3. - "The ‘Incomplete Revelation Hypothesis’ and Financial Reporting" - https://publications.aaahq.org/accounting-horizons/article/1...

Paper explains why information can be public yet still not be fully incorporated into prices when extracting it takes effort.

4. - "Limited Arbitrage in Equity Markets" - https://www.hbs.edu/ris/Publication%20Files/Limited%20Arbitr...

Mitchell and Pulvino work on the "limits of arbitrage."

5. "How Pervasive Is Corporate Fraud?" - https://www.chicagobooth.edu/research/rustandy/social-impact...

The paper on about one-third of corporate fraud is detected

6. "There’s never been a better time to commit financial fraud" - https://www.economist.com/business/2026/07/29/theres-never-b...

7. "Firm Data on AI" - https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w34836/w348...

The Bank of England study on executive AI usage and productivity.

Re: Why Wall Street is ignoring big tech's debt [video]

#9
I don't know a single white collar worker who isn't using AI for their job. Not like forced, but like "Oh damn, this bot thing can do a lot of tedious leg work for me".

To think that people won't pay $60-$80/mo to continue using it is wild to me. In a white collar environment it pays for itself in a few hours of use.

If you focus on how much value AI brings to people (mostly in time saved), the bubble hardly looks bubbly.

Did Uber die when a trip across town went from $3 to $13? No. It's giving more rides than ever, 10x more than when it was $3.

I'm sure there will be some losers, but unlike the dot-com boom, the entirety of the population already has all the tools needed to leverage AI.

Re: Why Wall Street is ignoring big tech's debt [video]

#10
post #9

I don't know a single white collar worker who isn't using AI for their job. Not like forced, but like "Oh damn, this bot thing can do a lot of tedious leg work for me". To think that people won't pay $60-$80/mo to continue using it is wild to me. In a white collar environment it pays for itself in a few hours of use. If you focus on how much value AI brings to people (mostly in time saved), the bubble hardly looks bu…

using how?
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