Viewing profile — woodchuck64

Sometimes anxiety is a symptom of high-functioning autism spectrum. (Note that anxiety doesn't need to be solely related to social situations in this case either) https://www.ncbi.…

> Burnout is caused by a series of failures. Your brain is quick to pick up patterns and will assume your next attempt will be a failure. I like the simplicity and elegance of that…

There's got be some non-political algorithms. Maybe tracking news articles to their sources (text/phrase similarity searching), showing sources, and flagging quality by accuracy of…

One thing's for certain: Facebook AI research is running deep-layered natural-language ANNs right now on a year of election comments and likes. I think well before four years they'…

> You assume I am a creationist because.... Because the only reason to reject well-established scientific conclusions such as evolution and global warming is moral and emotional re…

> Ok... according to woodchuck64, We live in the land of PURE unbiased science! There are ZERO reasons to lean on or massage data one way or another. Funding just comes in, no matt…

You are a creationist so it is likely your moral and emotional need to believe in God is biasing and corrupting your understanding of science. > Consider, for example, the "lost sq…

I'm with you, the disinformation campaign is growing here.

> What we don't understand (unless we decide GCMs are predictive and can be validated) is the impact of a given thermal forcing on planetary temperature. This is the "climate sensi…

In very few things the truth lies somewhere in the "middle". You either have rigorous treatment of evidence combined with methodological design to reduce or eliminate human bias, i…

> For that matter, increases in air temperature in the 20th century by no means constitute definitive evidence of anthropogenic warming, since the planet has been warming for about…

> But all ten researchers, faced with the choice of what hypothesis to formulate and/or investigate, naturally chose high-impact hypotheses -- ones that, if confirmed, adjust past …

Much is made of voter anger this election, but what if a larger factor turns out to be social media designed to inflame anger and fear? Inflaming emotions equals clicks equals prof…

True, but now I realize we're getting far afield of the original point of contention. The issue is that US rural men are unemployed. But the US rural economy will continue to decli…

China exports 800 million tons of steel and the US only imports 1.9% of that. Burning coal here will have very little impact on China steel operations. http://www.reuters.com/artic…

What reality-based approach to predicting Trump's win would you have used? Note; anecdotes are not a reliable approach.

Makes sense. Now, how can Silver correct his methodology to capture the above in future elections, I wonder.

> if the data is garbage or the model is garbage There's no better reality-based approach than aggregating polls across the political spectrum. But who would have thought that all …

Not just the left and right's echo-chambers, but those who attempt to actually listen to reality got it wrong, too: FiveThirtyEight for example has been using proven, reality-based…

> Honestly I think the democrats should do the best the sabotage him and make sure everything he does fails. I don't think this is necessary. With Obama, his policies were ultimate…

That's factually wrong. Documented workers’ wages rise with increases in the share of undocumented workers in a worker’s county and employed by their employers. Why? The law of com…

> It wasn't a race issue, it was an immigration issue since many illegal immigrants have taken American jobs. This is factually wrong. Immigrants and native workers compete for dif…

I remain skeptical that anyone can be content contributing nothing. The Mosuo Cultural Development Association, which works directly with the Mosuo, has this to say: "It is true th…

Women doing backbreaking work in the (rural) fields while the men stay at home with the children? Citation needed!