Viewing profile — wkyle

I don't think that it makes a ton of sense to draw an ideological difference between shorting and buying in the secondary market, where buying is 'Investing' and short selling isn'…

No, NW border of Excelsior is 280, so definitely not north of Monterrey Blvd. Broad strokes neighborhood is Twin Peaks area. That part of Twin Peaks is heavily influenced by histor…

Note that nonfarm payroll is still seasonally adjusted - 156105k vs. 156306k adjusted. The FRED series for NFP with and without sesonality: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=15L…

> The answer to that more likely has to do with some very broad phenomenon: capital has been accumulating due to increases in energy availability. Human talent (that turns capital …

I'm not sure if this claim really makes sense - if water districts are incentivized by income, and if high users really have such inelastic water consumption, then wouldn't the wat…

If the intention of this idea is to allocate reasonable consumption to each person at low prices and quickly increase prices beyond that, then I don't think this wouldn't be a bad …

The parent comment suggests a progressively priced system that would presumably allow for cheap consumption of water at small quantities. I think the comments here discarding this …

A cyclist must be courteous for you not to kill them? The instigator on an unsafe pass is the person passing, not the person getting passed.

It's certainly possible that even with the volatility smile markets still underprice unlikely events, but high returns from a tail-heding fund during a black swan event hardly prov…

To give a brief counter to the Taleb/Spitznagel Empirica Kurtosis strategy, the pricing of deep out of the money options is systematically overvalued in relation to the Black-Schol…

Why would a larger bicycle be less eco-friendly than a small, intricate bicycle with many bespoke components?

Transportation infrastructure investment is fairly zero-sum. A city full of self-driving cars is only marginally better than a city full of regular cars. The ‘smart approach’ is to…

On a more feasible scale, a similar idea could be better air filtration/ventilation. Better ventilation in homes or offices to decrease CO2 levels could be an easier way to achieve…

That may sound like an easy fix, but easing the ability to discharge student loans in bankruptcy court would necessarily require higher interest rates on new loans (sans increased …

Prophet is just a specific forecasting procedure.

This is a common anecdotal example of Simpson's Paradox. Even if work performance is positively correlated with college ranking, a subset of selected grads can have a negative rela…

The lack of personalized ads on TikTok is really surprising - the recommendation engine must have some of the best targeting data out of any social media platform. It still seems l…

The Bugaboos in Eastern BC are well known for having rubber-eating porcupines. Standard practice when leaving a car at the trailhead for a while is to wrap the underside in chicken…

The pillar experiment from the paper isn't fully explained in the article. The instructions stated "You may alter the structure however you want". The experiment was run with two g…

There seems to be a lot of dismissal in this thread about the consequences of a Constitutionally-legal road to dictatorship. The historical precedent to this concern is the Nazific…

It's kind of interesting that state departments of transportations are so involved in anti-litter campaigns. Seems like they were the most relevant government stakeholders prior to…

Vaguely similar to a joke from Ninotchka that Zizek often uses about the difference between 'coffee without cream' and 'coffee without milk'. He usually uses it to reference the co…

The goal of a park (particularly the valley) is to allow as many people as possible to see and appreciate it. There are hundreds of thousands of square miles of empty wilderness in…

Considering 67.8% of murders are committed with firearms[1], it's pretty fair to frame this as an attempt to reduce gun violence. Also, this solution mainly focuses on resolving di…