Viewing profile — weepinbell

GiveWell actually benchmarks their charity recommendations against direct cash transfers and will generally only recommend charities whose benefits are Nx cash for some N that I do…

Certainly charities exist that are ineffective, but there is very strong evidence that there exist charities that do enormous amounts of direct, targeted good. givewell.org is prob…

https://www.pangram.com/history/f119a8ee-7e60-442a-8d0c-3fa0... I show this more of as a discussion point than as a definitive answer. There is more research on this tool than othe…

I recently set up a system for myself using some cheap NFC tags and Tasker that: 1. Has a "lock" tag next to my bad that scans when I place my phone down on my night stand This dis…

I really like your point about rent growth. I quickly grabbed numbers from FRED on rent growth in the same period as analyzed in this blog: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1Ki…

The NYTimes/NerdWallet calculators implicitly account for that in their logic - they track money you gain/lose from down payment/mortgage/interest/taxes, then selling the house at …

I can definitely make this more clear, but this is specifically only changing the home appreciation and asset appreciation rates that produce that $1.5M change. I used the topline …

> I can't see how you're accounting for the cost/value of the use of the property That's what the rent/buy calculators are doing! It's summing up all the cash flows for owning a pr…

I pulled up the first text I found from the site: > according to its archive... Let's say I mistype and don't double the first "c", but otherwise type entirely correctly. > acordin…

This is very neat. One piece of feedback and a gripe I have with a lot of these is that missed or extra characters throw off the entire next sequence and essentially require backin…

This is really cool - it'd be great to test for other chemicals like heavy metals. Specifically, rice seems to contain a good deal of arsenic ( https://www.consumerreports.org/cro/…

https://tinkerdeck.com/projects/rent-buy-growth I've been basing one of the biggest financial decisions in my life - whether to buy a house - in large part on NYT/NerdWallet Rent-B…

I believe the origin is here and explains it in a lot of detail: https://probability.ca/jeff/writing/montyfall.pdf I should add the credit line, looks like I left it off for that o…

A variant of the Monty Hall problem (the 7th one on this quiz) went semi-viral a couple months ago. For me at least, I may be able to walk through the reasoning of the original pro…