Viewing profile — usaar333

> and eventually AI model will be commodified This axiom not being true (and I'd bet against it) means your overall conclusion is false.

Tech workers get paid in equity and many in the semiconductor industry are making far far more than this a year with all the equity appreciation.

How does delaying the release not solve anything? It puts everyone on a notice to fix all security vulnerabilities now

I hate waiting on hold for 30 minutes even more.

There's literally a link on the blog post to an article noting they hit $150M ARR.

Voice agents have capabilities and policy to alter customer state. Just the other day I called into a CC company and the AI waived an interest charge.

page is updated to state: MCP-Atlas: The Opus 4.6 score has been updated to reflect revised grading methodology from Scale AI.

> But even setting aside the leaked answers, the scorer’s normalize_str function strips ALL whitespace, ALL punctuation, and lowercases everything before comparison. This means: I …

True, but it gets you higher accuracy. Gemini had the best aa-omniscience score https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience

Openai has; they don't even mention score on gpt-5.3-codex. On the other hand, it is their own verified benchmark, which is telling.

i'd interpret that as rounding error. that is unchanged swe-bench seems really hard once you are above 80%

In Quebec it was a 20% jump in mother employment: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-31/affordabl... And had all sorts of negative outcomes for the kids: https://www.e…

claude 4.5 gets 82% on their own highly customized scaffolding. (parallel compute with a scoring function). That beats Doubao

That wasn't a ceasefire violation. It was a six week ceasefire that had expired at the beginning of March

Physics seems better than veo 3 at least from demo videos

Except it is sublinear. Sonnet 4 was 10.2% above sonnet 3.7 after 3 months.

No it doesn't. If it were even linear compared to o1 -> o3, we'd be at 2.43 hours. Instead we're only at 2.29. Exponential would be at 3.6 hours

No, this is below expectations on both Manifold and lesswrong ( https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FG54euEAesRkSZuJN/ryan_green... ). Median was ~2.75 hours on both (which already rep…

At this point the prediction for SWE bench (85% by end of this month) is not materializing. We're actually quite far away.

No obvious gains I feel from quick chats, but too early to tell. These benchmark gains aren't that high, so I doubt it is that obvious.

> Firstly, if your prior is that every previous startup failed, what does that say about your future chances of success? The prior is the market. It isn't sane to use your own prio…

Why is modal return so important? You'll work more than 2 jobs

It's a probabilistic model. It assumes (correctly) that the low probability of a home run times the home run's valuation is quite large ("expected returns" in the probabilistic sen…

The value of the equity package is 4x higher than the FAANG equivalent equity package (at preferred/market pricing) - that's not the same as saying the shares themselves are worth …