Viewing profile — trashtester

The main problem with ice, is that it moves all the time. The glaciers on Iceland move up to 46m per day. Also, any tunnel created in fast moving ice could easily be crushed by the…

Indeed. But most instincts involve elements of learning. Meaning the instincts may be stored using a much smaller number of bits than if they were stored as traditional IF-THEN-ELS…

For now, Sora will not be able to actually produce all the text, I think. Maybe next year.

Student unions tend to focus on all sorts of other issues, I wouldn't trust them to handle cases like this. The only way to reliably prevent the use of AI tools without punishing i…

Certainly, and I don't think anyone really doubts this. Still, people are sometimes surprised by how DNA may affect more parts of behavior than they previously thought. Not necessa…

I don't think human DNA generally codes for the behavior derectly. Rather, DNA can code for how the brain learns from incoming data streams. If the brain naturally tunes into some …

As technology changes over history, governments tend to emerge that reflect the part of the population that can maintain a monopoly of violence. In the Classical Period, it was the…

The fears from 3 Mile Island and Fukushima were almost completely irrational. The death toll from those was too low to measure. And the fears from Chernobyl was MOSTLY irrational. …

The "next token prediction" is a distraction. That's not where the interesting part of an AI model happens. If you think of the tokenization near the end as a serializer, something…

For now, the people able to glue all the necessary ingredients together are the same ones who can understand the output if they drill into it. Indeed, these may be the last ones to…

Ironically, finding ways to spin stories like that IS one way of taking responsibility, even if it's only a way to take responsibility for the narratives that are created after thi…

It would not collapase. But it would shift some purchaing power from the middle class to the working class if all of them would leave, as working class salaries would go up even fa…

Presidents may not be able to pardon themselves, but they ARE immune from prosecution through the regular legal system for any actions taken as part of the office as president. The…

Language models are closing the gaps that still remain at an amazing rate. There are still a few gaps, but if we consider what has happened just in the last year, and extrapolated …

If the training data had a lot of humans saying "I don't know", then the LLM's would too. Humans don't and LLM's are essentially trained to resemble most humans.

Authority, yes, accountable, not so much. Basically at the level of other publishers, meaning they can be as biased as MSNBC or Fox News, depending on who controls them.

Wikipedia is one of the better sources out there for topics that are not seen as political. For politically loaded topics, though, Wikipedia has become increasingly biased towards …

Somebody, or SOMETHING. There will not be much work that cannot be done by Figure, Optimus, Atlas, Claude, Grok or GPT by 2035.

With all due respect, this attitude typically comes with age. I see it in myself, too (I'm over 50). You're right that an important reason why it's hard to replace those 30+ year o…

Try to live below that poverty line for a few months, and I'm pretty sure you will understand it.

> Is this because of a fundamental limitation, or because the post-training sets are currently too small (or otherwise deficient in some way) to induce good thinking patterns? "Thi…

Things have changes since the Raegan era. There are a couple of elements to ICMB defense: 1) If you can strike the the ICBM's before the MIRV's separate, you only need a fraction o…

I heard war games indicate that the US would lose at least a few carriers if they try to defend Taiwan. That may be more than worth it if they succeed. Taiwan is not like Ukraine. …

Being unpredictable has advantages and also disadvantages, depending on setting. Though with an AI race going on and Musk practically living in the White House, I can't imagine the…

Asking what charge, momentum or energy (or other conserved quantities like QCD color) in Physics basically boils down to something that is invariant under some symmetry. Momentum a…