Viewing profile — theptip

They are investing heavily in this, FWIW. https://about.fb.com/news/2025/10/instagram-teen-accounts-13... I guess you could still make the claim that this is just doing the math on…

Yeah I can easily imagine the “AI for work” version never being ad supported and gradually capturing more of the value created. Thats a very different usage pattern. But 90% (99%?)…

No, just report them with error bars. We know the 95th percentile revision size of the distribution. Moot point as the people who actually act on the data understand how to roll th…

I bet they cache a lot more than OpenAI can though.

OpenAI can very plausibly target ads far better than Google can. Email is a good window but lots of people talk in more depth with a chat bot. Search is a good “purchase intent mom…

It’s true in the limit, but I think we are nowhere near that limit. A friend recently started a bio startup and automated parts of mouse experiments enabling higher throughput on i…

I agree that the ansible isn’t hard sci-fi, it’s not defined rigorously IIRC. However I don’t think hard sci-fi has ever been strictly limited to known physics. It just requires co…

Interesting, thanks - is the problem you’re describing solved by Rust’s macros (eg derive) or are there further issues you see even there?

The interest rate is very low.

Is there a broad benchmark like SWEBench or METR that’s credible for overall progress on dexterity tasks? I’m curious on the trendline for human parity.

No… it’s really not. There is no “open this spreadsheet with macros turned off” button. You can say “don’t read other documents” but then the main usecase is voided. You can say “r…

> If you truly believe that bans don't work, the same applies to hardware too. No, software and hardware are different. You can very plausibly prevent smuggling of physical objects…

I have been using https://www.aihero.dev/skills-grill-me with great success. It’s a very nice small skill for lightweight up-front planning. And if you have that at the top of your…

And yet demand outstrips supply; so they must be underpricing for the quality level they are hitting.

Google X was building Loon at least a decade ago to solve internet connectivity with laser-networked high-altitude balloons. They clearly benefit structurally from expanding access…

Go read Karpathy on this, his telling will be more nuanced than mine for the specific example. But the whole point of NanoGPT is that it’s distilling all of his wisdom and taste in…

Agreed, all of the staff/principal engineers I work with are ~99%+ AI generated code, and increasing business value delivered as a result. This is on planet scale infra not CRUD ap…

Thanks. I’ll concede the point and update accordingly.

One of the key limitations of the last generation was that they biased towards inaction and gave up. (Hence Ralph-loops.) Seems pretty clear that most people wanted these models tu…

I dunno man, the original announcement said things like: > To gain access, the models identified and exploited a zero-day vulnerability (which we’ve now responsibly disclosed to th…

I don’t buy it. We are hearing a lot about Mythos capabilities now. If they existed a year ago they would have been trumpeted then. Look, a lot of energy from third parties goes in…

The problem is, if you explicitly say “this is an eval” then you get different results. It can move the capabilities both up and down on the narrow metric depending on the scenario…

If it’s true that year-old models could do this kind of thing, how come no one did and then wrote it up? I feel your ”with the right harness” may be doing too much work here. Certa…