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tghw

HN member
Joined
Mon, Dec 29, 2008, 11:06 PM UTC
HN karma
5,370
Public activity
880 items

About tghw

http://tghw.com/hello

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/tghw; my proof: https://keybase.io/tghw/sigs/Hs5ZHgrRiQcc32_HKqs0NkYoPS7WWFBgRMFChOKth-4 ]

Recent public activity

  1. comment
    Comment #25298381

    When I was in grad school, I was working on general game playing AI. Unfortunately, I was in a "pure logic" research group, founded on the old-school AI principles that believed AI…

  2. comment
    Comment #24995444

    That's an extraordinary claim. You need extraordinary evidence to back it up. So far, we haven't seen anything to suggest that evidence exists.

  3. comment
    Comment #24907443

    A WSGI middleware would not be able to catch exceptions in production mode, as the generic 500 error page would already be completed by that point.

  4. comment
    Comment #24590161

    Many of the comments here seem to be missing the point. It is an object moving into the path of the car, and if the safety systems work as advertised, it should avoid that object. …

  5. story
  6. comment
    Comment #24229751

    You might want to read this one: https://www.forbes.com/sites/leahrosenbaum/2020/08/19/why-t-...

  7. comment
    Comment #24229368

    Barring concrete evidence that is the case, it's a very dangerous assertion to make. It would also mean that the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 is much higher than we originally th…

  8. comment
    Comment #24225933

    The distinction comes down to factors that change (behaviors, mandates, regulations, etc.) and those that don't (age, gender, etc.). Saying we've reached herd immunity given behavi…

  9. comment
    Comment #24224842

    > Back in February, Lipsitch gave a very rough estimate that, absent intervention, herd immunity might happen after 40 to 70 percent of the population had been infected. Which is a…

  10. comment
    Comment #24223069

    68% tested positive at a clinic in one neighborhood. Getting tested, without proper controls, is highly subject to self-selection bias. People were sick, couldn't get a test at the…

  11. comment
    Comment #24222982

    Just because you and your friends weren't tested, doesn't mean the statistics are invalid. The link above was from random antibody testing and has a high confidence interval. I've …

  12. comment
    Comment #24222940

    In other places, mask mandates were correlated with a 46% drop in daily new cases. https://www.forbes.com/sites/nicholasreimann/2020/08/12/coro... And even if mask laws are lifted …

  13. comment
    Comment #24222882

    Different cities have different mask regulations, and even without mandates, many are wearing them. Disney is open with drastic changes to how they operate: https://www.tampabay.co…

  14. comment
    Comment #24219475

    I find it hard to believe, with the R0 numbers we were seeing initially, that 40% had a significant level of immunity. If the numbers were that high, then R0 among those without me…

  15. comment
    Comment #24219317

    While true, that map and a photo of an outdoor space with people in it are poor pieces of data to hinge your entire argument on. You completely failed to take into account people w…

  16. comment
    Comment #24218890

    Also, the JHU map is a poor indicator, as they are clearly basing the colors on suspect data, as in this case in Nebraska, which apparently had negative new cases yesterday. [1] ht…

  17. comment
    Comment #24218870

    NYC had only 20% prevalence in mid-June[1], after they had contained the initial outbreak[2]. Therefore, the drop in new cases is very unlikely to be from herd immunity, which woul…

  18. comment
    Comment #24218831

    CDC Data from mid June had NYC at only 20% prevalence. Considering their low new daily cases since then, it's hard to believe they are anywhere near 68%.

  19. comment
    Comment #24218817

    Seroprevalence studies[1] in Italy, France, and Spain indicated we were a very long way off form herd immunity. They were in the range of 11-15%, where herd immunity would only sta…

  20. comment
    Comment #24218476

    1. Online learning is a poor substitute for classroom learning. 2. Online learning is much harder on parents and kids. 3. We're in the middle of a pandemic, in a country that has h…

  21. comment
    Comment #24038610

    An email/password login is not difficult in the least. And, frankly, there is zero chance I'm going to host a site with a provider who thinks it is.

  22. comment
    Comment #23979096

    > This is a topic that I've spent a great deal of time thinking about, because we happen to run a site chock full of user generated questions and answers. The last thing I want to …

  23. comment
    Comment #23212130

    And what if you make the US median individual income of $31k?

  24. comment
    Comment #22978476

    A good supplement to this is Mike Monteiro's "Fuck You Pay Me" talk. https://vimeo.com/22053820

  25. story