Viewing profile — sudosysgen

MDMA is far, far easier to make than a virus from nothing. People can make it in their basement.

I am aware, I personally knew someone who did so a decade ago. This is very different from synthesizing and culturing a virus from a sequence. Also, you wouldn't use CRISPR for thi…

Why would they need help from an LLM to design a sequence when there are sequences for many existing highly pathogenic viruses and well understood ways to make them more harmful? B…

The genetic sequence for smallpox is publicly available. The bottleneck in causing maximum harm is that you need a large, expensive, well stocked lab and a lot of expertise. LLMs h…

They didn't go straight, though. Chinese companies have been working for years on ICE. In fact, the largest companies were focused on ICE cars, and many were outcompeted by domesti…

Sure, none of that is inherent. But do note that China never caught up in internal combustion engines. They had to wait for a fundamental paradigm change to catch up, and were not …

There is definitely comparative advantage in certain technologies which depend on a niche supply chain with deep materials science experience, simply due to experience and network …

The cost is not just pure development. There are very high switching costs, and downstream opportunity costs affecting the entire ecosystem. As an example, Nikon was competitive wi…

The steelman of the argument is that, due to legacy in technology and comparative advantage, unless they expect a serious supply chain tech, many core technologies will be too expe…

Mythos is Fable without safeguards. Open weight models are already essentially at the Mythos level, and with extra post training a well resourced actor could deploy would almost ce…

As the private/working reserves are set to reach operational minimums in a month or less at the current pace, the SPR will have to increase draw rate or there will have to be furth…

It changes how many attempts you get until the attack surfaces changes to react to a failed attack, and it does so in a way that is not predictable to the attacker.

> "defenders have to be right 100% of the time, while attackers only have to be right once" If you have an adaptive system that can react to attacks flexible (say, your own AI agen…

No, he refused the DoW demand to use Anthropic models without limits. But Anthropic still agreed to military usage of their models, including for strike planning.

There are plenty of comparable systems in US bases that nevertheless were frequently hit.

Iran has been getting consistent impacts on US bases in Jordan essentially every day for the past few weeks, and they are well defended. At the end of the day Iran has more missile…

Iran has recently demonstrated the ability to execute accurate strikes in Jordan. If it can do so in Jordan, it can do so in Israel once Israeli air defences are similarly degraded…

It's not, but it's not coincidence either. The reason for the US entanglements in the Persian Gulf intensifying are because it's a choke point for oil, and the reason the US feels …

Anthropic had Mythos-Preview for many months internally, but from available sources was an active work in progress, and it seems they started releasing it via Project Glasswing to …

https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3 "The full model weights will be released by July 27, 2026."

Many of these techniques haven't been published very long ago - it often takes a good 6-8 months for techniques to percolate. But also, they come at a complexity cost and, seemingl…

The article says weights will be released in the coming days, and hints it's likely around 50-70B active params.

It's an open model, you can just wait a few days and you'll get to choose who to hand it over to, or given the resources you can run it on your own box.

If you read DeepSeek's papers, you'll find a litany of architectural features that allow for a greatly reduced cache hit price by shrinking the size of the KV-cache.

The literal interpretation of that sentence is "when it is second or third, it is only behind Fable 5 or 5.6 Sol". And indeed they give benchmarks where it is ahead of one but not …