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spec

HN member
Joined
Sat, Oct 10, 2009, 8:32 AM UTC
HN karma
47
Public activity
14 items

About spec

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Recent public activity

  1. story
  2. story
  3. comment
    Comment #3297391

    Something very similar has been done years ago: http://www.city-data.com/accidents/acc-Chicago-Illinois.html . Per-city mapping using Google Maps with additional info and Google st…

  4. comment
    Comment #1635233

    You are absolutely and factually wrong. He absolutely calls them predictions when he is right. Here is a direct quote from Silver: "predicting 49 of 50 states correctly in the pres…

  5. comment
    Comment #1634624

    There is a very common fallacy committed by people outside economics in thinking that Krugman has something substantial to say in areas of economics outside of his very narrow focu…

  6. comment
    Comment #1634602

    Based on your post, it appears that you don't understand how things like statistical significance work. If there is not enough data to make a prediction, you simply should not make…

  7. comment
    Comment #1634304

    No, that poster was claiming that his coverage was "well-deserved" and I disagreed. He was not obligated to mention his failures, but I did, and that apparently troubles you greatl…

  8. comment
    Comment #1634263

    You're right - it appears that he updated his model right before the elections and I only saw his earlier posts. However, he had a post in 2009 entitled "Could a Republican Win Ted…

  9. comment
    Comment #1634195

    The point was that selectively praising someone's accurate predictions without mentioning his failures is wrong. Krugman is a partisan hack that has a Nobel Prize is one very speci…

  10. comment
    Comment #1634030

    How about his failure in predicting UK elections results, US unemployment rate, Maine's same sex marriage vote, special Senate elections in Massachusetts? These are just a few exam…

  11. story
  12. comment
    Comment #1552850

    The writer states himself that the results of "site:" don't mean anything: "Of course this says nothing about how much they appear in the rankings." So what's the point of this art…

  13. comment
    Comment #998195

    This paper does nothing to calculate any "real value" and is just a collection of biased and discredited arguments. Example of one of the arguments: "They have supported the propag…

  14. comment
    Comment #989553

    This confirms that they had no contracts - Arrington's "exhibits" are some blog posts and emails. This guy seriously used to be a lawyer? The initial price point was just an attemp…