Viewing profile — senshan

So it not a falsifiable statement from the onset? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falsifiability

Isaac Asimov's Nightfall [0], but on a longer cycle? Jokes aside, what is the evidence, beyond "Ancient mystical texts"? [0] http://www.myths.com/pub/fiction/science-fiction/Asimov…

Are you suggesting that holding private credit assets is relatively risk free? Equity is a risky asset, so equity being wiped out should not be a surprise to anyone, but life insur…

Typical total bond market fund like BND is ~70% in USG -- pretty solid: https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profi...

You probably meant to say that practically, high leverage tends to leak into companies of public interest. For example, when high net worth individuals start trimming their private…

For those who stick to a meaningful asset allocation (e.g. 60/40, 80/20, etc), this does not pose significant problem -- they would not be buying much stock in the last 3 years. In…

As long as this debt does not make it into life insurance and pension funds, we are fine. The trouble is that private credit is taking control of some life insurance companies and …

Interesting. Little brother brought a new version of malaria to try...

Right. If one lives in an area prone to malaria, has good immune system, will the body tend to carry the antibodies all the time?

No, do not stop the efforts! The story here tells us that risks of being poisoned (once the throne is obtained) are greatly exaggerated.

This could serve as a beacon for those who still care: Richard Feynman: "I have the advantage of having found out how hard it is to get to really know something, how careful you ha…

KGB: entry -- ruble, exit -- two

> Is that an effective way to learn? No. Sorry, but I must disagree. There is much more to learning process than just the material itself. We are social animals, so the emotional a…

On the flip side, the value of new, clever and repeatable experimental results goes up when compared to regurgitated publications.

> Lectures have been an incredibly ineffective way to learn forever. Mainly due to shortage of very good lecturers, no? I can not see a better way to cultivate the professional pri…

Is there evidence that no one else would fund Anthropic, Solana, Robinhood and Cursor?

Interesting -- none of the major VMWare customers had a second/alternative vendor/product? I hope they learnt the lesson.

Please suggest better alternatives

The S/CNN for both trunk and nonloaded subscriber loop circuits shall not be less than 31 dB. 4kHz/2*log2(1+10^(31dB/10)) ~ 60.3kBps [0] https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-7/subtit…

Correction: OpenAI investors do take that risk. Some of the investors (e.g. Microsoft, Nvidia) dampen that risk by making such investment conditioned on boosting the investor's own…

It is the term "mathematically impossible" that caught my attention. Since it is about the future promise of OpenAI, one could debate the likelihood or "statistically improbable", …