Viewing profile — rybosworld

> Why should they? Because utilities are regulated monopolies that exist to benefit society. The companies building data-centers are well aware that the system isn't setup to handl…

Appreciate the links but I think we can both agree that there is no evidence that will come close to supporting "the entire left wing of politics" predicted the mortgage crisis

> The entire left wing of the political spectrum saw this coming Feel free to cite at least one reputable source.

I was too - and to be frank: it's dishonestly revisionist to say this was a topic in the public eye. There's a very good reason a book (and movie) like The Big Short was such a big…

That's the great recession

Right - my point is that if everyone is talking about it, then it isn't a bubble that's waiting to be popped. Anecdotally, I have family who don't follow the stock market at all an…

You have any examples? Because all of the biggest and most famous crashes were events that only a very small minority of people ever saw coming. Tulips, 1929, Dotcom, Great Recessi…

Right - black swans are by definition things that the majority didn't see coming. Ever since the 2008 housing crisis, people have been predicting the next bubble-burst/black-swan e…

Agentic coding only became reasonably decent this past December. Even in tech, most organizations that have adopted the tools are still trying to understand how capable they are an…

I'm honestly not trying to spark a political conversation - but the target user base is far-right

Hard to have sympathy for someone that chose to use Grok. The entire XAI team has been gutted and replaced how many times now?

One thing I can't square: if the cost to build an application goes to zero, we should see a proliferation of apps, especially from the AI labs. The fact that we aren't seeing an ap…

A bit of a tangent but I'm surprised with how many layoffs tech has had the last few years, we aren't seeing the laid off folks form new companies.

That messaging is for investors. To a dev's ears, it's a meaningless thing to say. It reminds me when Elon took over twitter and made a comment to the effect of "we need to rethink…

Completely agree. The job isn't to write code. The job isn't to architect. Those are means to an end. Anecdotally: it seems like the most principled developers are having the most …

I believed that $10-30 billion/year TAM figure is sourced from this research report: https://www.precedenceresearch.com/large-language-model-mark... The TAM figure they arrive at i…

I'm convinced that even if/when ASI is achieved we will still have mediocre engineers writing blog posts about how they have uncovered the secrets to using these tools "effectively…

> An optimistic view is that the jobs displaced by AI will be like the jobs displaced by industrialization: while fewer people will be needed to do the task, there will be more dem…

Everyone processes the transition to the post-AI development world differently and on their own timeline. You just seem to be a late bloomer.

I think it's likely that what you call slop is more often than not "good enough". One thing a lot of developers aim for in their code, beyond "it does what it is meant to", is some…

Regardless, what they say here is genuinely true and it's worth knowing things like "police are allowed to lie to you". Some people find that sort of thing surprising.

One thing I'd like to pick at: > And so you're able to pay people extremely generously to help maintain the thing. This is optional, and requires the owner to be generous. It is mo…

> Surely for these companies, if the founders get to several million or tens of million in revenue without hiring any more people, those people have successfully become millionaire…

I read this and see two possibilities. 1) PG honestly believes that his audience is unfamiliar with compound growth - i.e., an insult to the audience's intelligence. Or 2) PG hones…