Viewing profile — ryankemper

As an operator you're always making a tradeoff between the "negatives" of a license and the "positives" enabled by the actual software. So for one example, the recent (bait and) sw…

> There’s nothing silly about a novel virus having greater abilities to overcome barriers when compared to other pathogens that humans have had years decades and centuries to devel…

> You are removing roughly 10% of the population in the U.S., or 2% worldwide. These numbers seem way too low if you're talking about the prevalence of people that have been expose…

> Seems like the simplest answer is just "actions that have reduced the spread of one disease have also reduced the spread of another, that's historically less widespread already."…

Actually, what you're saying is untrue. The overwhelming evidence shows that children spread COVID less than adults do. My favorite is this: https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NE…

For context, in India there's about 27,000 deaths per day in a normal year (napkin math: 7.344 deaths per 1000 from https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/IND/india/death-rate , mul…

> OK, but you can make the same argument for COVID. It seems to me that the slides are at least comparing apples with apples. If you look at the rates of acute side effects to the …

That doesn't compare vaccination to naturalistic rates at all. It just gives rates of reinfection for those with antibodies versus without.

A coding camp is the opposite of hustling. It's called "bootcamp" for a reason - it's there to impose some structure for those who need it. Also bootcamp is very overhyped. There's…

What dataset are you referring to?

Second shot syndrome is apparently worse in the young (20's / 30's) due to the stronger immune response. I wasn't assuming that everyone who gets the syndrome would be asymp. but j…

> fwiw, new and better better technologies need to get used for the first time, eventually. No-one disputed that, I'm just pointing out that it is a very valid point for someone to…

> Difference is that I know person that got COVID in November and now has issues with memory. > I don't know a single person that has that after flue and cold - and those are with …

The fact that the vaccines create just a single spike protein and the real virus creates much more is actually one of the issues. First: does the rate at which the cells are made t…

(Not the one you responded to) I know what an mRNA vaccine is and the only clearcut answer is that "yes, obviously the long-tail risks of mRNA vaccines could outpace the long-tail …

> Also don't think the long-tail risk of an mRNA vaccine can be worse then COVID's long-tail risk. It absolutely could, and that should be self-evident. > Also pretty sure risk of …

We've never taken such an attitude for any other endemic respiratory pathogen in existence, and for good reason. It's completely absurd and ignores not only the important health be…

It is true; the PDF linked in the GC has to make a number of assumptions and is very obviously made from a point of bias (which does not invalidate its claims but warrants extra sc…

> The chance the disease kills you is 1 in 100 It's 6 in 1000 if you listen to the CDC; personally I think the real number is closer to 3 in 1000. That's not too far off from what …

Thanks. To avoid repeating myself: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26799734 TL;DR you can probably s/mRNA/adenovirus vector/g although I will grant that adenovirus vector seem…

> It's not dishonest. It's a very adequate answer to the over-simplifying claim above. I would disagree that calling it "rushed, experimental, and not necessary for [the original c…

Thanks for the important clarification; I didn't read closely enough. My argument was definitely tailored for the mRNA discussion, although the purpose was more to illustrate the b…

It's extra frustrating because organizations like the CDC get held to lower standards than anyone else. They can make a pronouncement recommending the use of face masks for SARS-Co…

I hear this line being trotted out all over - especially from the "experts" - and I find it nothing short of enraging. There is a difference between saying "an mRNA platform in gen…

> All these anti-vaxers talking about living in fear of a virus that has 98% survival rate Please cite a source here. Survival rate usually means IFR not CFR, and even the CDC's ow…