Viewing profile — rramach

Wow, this comment thread clearly shows that at least Anthropic has not been a great communicator. If one reads this with a charitable lens, Dario is simply saying that 1) Nation st…

There is little evidence for wine being better than other alcoholic drinks. For example, see https://www.health.harvard.edu/blog/is-red-wine-good-actuall... Most of the claimed ben…

My favorite story when I hear someone dismiss an argument saying 'that is obvious': Lazarsfeld was writing about “The American Soldier”, a recently published study of over 600,000 …

Nice summary of the Nassim-Nate debate. A formal analysis/discussion of election forecasting is in this paper: http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/jdm2... Edwar…

Greenwald was not claiming he is breaking the story. He was trying to shed light into the media blacklisting of the story. It is indeed Ironic that his story got blacklisted as wel…

I don't get this obsession with comparing Sweden, a remote, sparsely-populated country, to more dense, well-connected, large population centers. If you really want to compare Swede…

Yes, I agree. This issue is super-nuanced and I believe Mark has spent years (since the 2016 election fiasco) looking into this as well as being advised by top minds to arrive at h…

> I'll go out on a limb, and say that the existence of police unions is not the most important factor behind police brutality, and the killing of people of colour by police, in the…

John's analysis is cherry picking in many ways. Death rate in Diamond Princess is 1.1% today and 2% is listed as severe. Assuming 50% of severe make it, final fatality rate for the…

Classics have a way to taking things to extreme to illustrate various points. The Gulag example highlights that when a person had a choice to take the road to the left (selfish) or…