Viewing profile — robotcapital

Right, that’s kind of my point. We call it “hallucination” because we don’t understand it, but need a shorthand to convey the concept. Here’s a paper trying to demystify it so mayb…

It’s interesting that most of the comments here read like projections of folk-psych intuitions. LLMs hallucinate because they “think” wrong, or lack self-awareness, or should just …

Replace the AI agent with any other new technology and this is an example of a company: 1. Working out in the open 2. Dogfooding their own product 3. Pushing the state of the art G…

The article's point isn't that globalization (or policy) didn't play a role, it's that the premise of middle class downfall is false to begin with. See the section under the header…

The comment you're replying to is implying real median personal income ( https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEPAINUSA672N ), not household. Household sizes change over time.

I don't know if the Fed themselves gives margins of error, but the GDPNow indicator the Atlanta Fed puts out ( https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow ) also includes range…

Given that, would you argue that the main condition needed for UBI, or wealth transfer in general, is increased productivity?

My understanding of marginal propensity to consume is that it decreases as wealth and income increase. The wealthier you are, the less you tend to spend as a function of the next d…

These are (strongly?) correlated though, right? Over-regulating distribution should reduce generation because builders can’t depend as much on pricing signals.

We’re getting off on a tangent here about here about the mechanism behind that polarization, but it reflects the broader point I was trying to make with my comment. That is to be s…

Part of the problem is that that “intuition” changes based on how you the ask the question and who you ask it to. A good example of this is polling that shows Americans as a whole …

Though that does presume being ready to board at precisely that moment while traveling with small children. In my experience I can expect that to happen about half the time.

Some of these regulations seem like they should be aimed at the government, though the article doesn't specify what organizations they would apply to. Behavioral scoring is fine fo…

The link you pointed to doesn’t have any empirical data and the paper it links to doesn’t seem to load. Regardless, we’re 30 years from the 90s now and if anything it seems like pr…

> Yup; any department with money in their budget left over at the end of the budget period will see their budget reduced, even if they need it. Anecdote here. I've been a senior ma…

Another anecdote, but this is exactly how I chose my last car. I went to CarMax, filtered by CarPlay integration, and then chose from what was available. In fact, the lack of CarPl…

> Instead allow students to declare bankruptcy on student debt. I'm curious what impact people think this would have. Or if there's any research on the subject. My initial reaction…