Viewing profile — ploomans

And now https://isdown.app/integrations/heroku?c=1685469931 is also down because they use Heroku and they did a deploy without realising they would go offline as a result :-)

I deployed updates to two apps in the last hour and they are now offline.. apps that didn't receive a deploy are working correctly. Console also works fine for all apps

But the chances for a Trump win were still above 20% if I remember me well. So it's not really a big surprise that Trump won. These are the kind of the odds in russian roulette. No…

I don't think "less hard on your digestive system" is an advantage but rather a disadvantage. Just like "less hard on you bones" is not really an advantage for astronauts that spen…

I agree that Brazil has in general high taxes (especially for what you get in return from the government) but don't just assume this is true in every situation. I'm a gringo "perma…

The chance to be involved in an armed robbery are small in every big city in the world. Based on anecdotes people will always over or under exaggerate the chances. Just to give a c…

I recently read the latest book of the same author on the same theme "The Vital Question: Energy, Evolution, and the Origins of Complex Life". I highly recommend it if you don't mi…

BTW, you should watch his lecture series on the biology of behaviour: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NNnIGh9g6fA&list=PL45A5E21EC... For me one of the best teachers you will find …

Warren Buffett once wrote an article about the points you are making: http://www.tilsonfunds.com/superinvestors.pdf . Interesting read

Plus if you have a million researches in your area of research a 1 per million chance your results are wrong is still no assurance. Should statistically happen to one of the resear…

I think the underlying cause is similar to the publication bias they mention in the article. For almost all A/B tests, A is actually not much different from B. But due to small sam…