Viewing profile — pinkmuffinere

Just to be clear, I'm arguing that there _does_ appear to be evolutionary pressure here, so we probably will evolve in response. That argument doesn't require predicting how exactl…

Why not? The claim (which I believe is well supported) is that these things hijack some innate impulses to trap us in bad decisions. If you consistently make bad decisions (eg, put…

I 100% believe there is such an effect, and that it’s confounding the measurement of population level changes. But I want to point out that the existence of such an effect is not r…

> We ask Master's students to give US instruction on a topic (drawn randomly on a card in front of them, from a list they know a few days in advance) This is also an absolutely gre…

> > At least in the USA, a new BMW is a high-end car. > No they most definitely are not. > They're marketed as high end, but their engineering is a tour de force of cost cutting be…

> I think we called every service qualified for providing such a testimony in Ontario, and a good portion of them across all of Canada. Some were even happy to work with us, until …

Wow this is fascinating enough that I’m actually going to read tfa lol

I totally think the AI companies are very overvalued, I feel that's obvious. But I don't understand why apple should have such a high run in the last year. Sure, it avoided the pit…

tl;dr -- Boom's iterations are very similar to a phase III trial! Please prove me wrong! Just to clarify, I think our numbers are in agreement here. From your numbers, phase I + II…

That's fair, phase 3 testing isn't an early prototype, it's a prototype with many years of effort behind it. But I still think it is _more_ like a prototype than it is like a produ…

> But let’s think about that 91% failure rate for a moment. When I bring this up in presentations, I invite the audience to consider what the auto industry would look like of 91% o…

Wow, that is fascinating, I didn't realize China was now blocking foreign chips, lol. It's not a definitive indicator, but I feel that doesn't bode well for US dominance in this ar…

This is a common objection, "It's already priced in". I've believed it for a long time, but also been really interested in the claim, since it feels recursive in the kind of suspic…

What are people going to do with all the GPUs? I guess we'll all have really good gaming rigs, lol. Sincerely, perhaps there will be a new flood of crypto farms, which I suppose wo…

> for the most part mass == weight on Earth. The thread above us discusses neither mass nor weight. Here it is copied in full -- I encourage you to use ctrl-f > mediumsmart 1 hour …

It’s possible the comments have changed, but I see nothing in the thread about mass loss. I do agree about weight though — losing weight is largely diet. > Go from obese to not obe…

The dietary impact on cholesterol in the blood is surprisingly low. Looking it up, this source says diet can affect 20-30% of your blood levels [1]. I don’t have a great statistic …

To be clear, I'm not endorsing Amazon writ large, I'm just saying I like the framing (ha!) as "two-way doors". This is maybe equivalent to your concept of reversible decisions, jus…

> This creates a level of bias, even if banks didn't have incentives to write bullish projections. I don't necessarily disagree with you, but I think this is misleading. The bad es…

+1! I've fallen in love with many of Amazon's in-group concepts, and maybe I'm just drinking the koolaide, but they have the concept of a "two-way door", which is exactly this -- a…

> Wouldn't your beams start cracking at the bottom, where they are subject to traction? You have a few mistakes here. I’m not trying to demean you, but I’m going to number them jus…