Viewing profile — pgodzin

Are you sure you're not the one seeing the survivorship bias? Something that is 10% likely to happen ends up switching to the opposite outcome at the very end 1/10 times. There are…

Vimeo's stock lost 90% of value after its IPO. Plenty of investors and businessmen paid the price.

There are much better ways to tell if a prediction market is well calibrated than a single anecdote. And if it works so poorly, there's a lot of easy money to be made.

last I checked the Figma MCP is read-only -- "look at this figma design and implement it"

> The fact is the federal government seems to grow and spend without any limit or regard to logic. It doesn't -feel- like much has ever been done to address it. In terms of "growth…

15% increase in productivity and increasing is extremely worth the hype, that's massive

Also a good interview in Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2025-sam-altman-interview

The author is certainly doing his part fighting against capital (letters)

sure, just wanted to point that out since someone who didn't read the article could have easily assumed that was an annual number, as in the US we are used to 2ish percent annual i…

Just to be clear, that's monthly inflation, not annual. Annual is still 193%

Is it not possible for "proper" management, rather than mismanagement, to result in downsizing a bloated org that over-hired, or lowering compensation in an employee-friendly hirin…

https://transitcosts.com/

Here's the one that some crypto folks were harking on earlier as the "true" inflation rate: https://truflation.com/dashboard Spoiler: 2.26%

Compare the reaction to Bob Lee's death from someone who was murdered by someone he knew vs the lack of reaction to the most likely way any of us are killed. Traffic violence has b…

The buses will be more reliable when they aren't stuck in traffic caused by congestion.

Tire wear also contributes the most to PM2.5 pollution, and EVs are heavier and produce more wear

What's being punished is the fraud, not the losses. We do not want to incentivize companies putting it all on red with customer funds they don't have a right to touch as long as th…

Hochul was trying to negotiate an amendment to the bill to limit it to people making under $250k, but the reason it died is because they couldn't agree on the language of what's in…

This is so dysfunctional. Does the other half of the company quit now? How can this board remain in place, but who can replace them?

But what percentage of employees, even in unskilled jobs, are being paid minimum wage in each of those locations? The floor may be misleading.

The valuable service is allowing the sale of merch within the venue, the table is free.

Yes, it would make sure that development tanks across the US, just like you want it to happen in Hawaii.

Should the FDA be immune from suits for the invisible graveyard of people who would otherwise be saved by drugs that take years longer than they should to get to market if at all?

If we introduced regular cars for the first time in this political environment, we'd never allow them on the roads. Our existing cars on the road severely impede emergency vehicles…