Viewing profile — orangecat

The fact of the matter is that the only thing that matters to most people is what makes economic sense to them. Yes, and that's why we should have carbon taxes that better align wh…

The world doesn't need an invention to save it. Just put that energy into caring about others. This is an excellent summary of the sort of anti-tech thinking that I strongly disagr…

His argument for rejecting AI is that it doesn't matter that it slows progress because the field doesn't actually produce any benefits other than warm fuzzies for mathematicians. O…

In fact I don't think that rich people are cartoon villains who enjoy watching the poors starve. If AI leads to greatly increased productivity, then at existing tax rates there wil…

do not seem to have found any possible positive outcome to present See "Machines of Loving Grace" by Dario Amodei: https://darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-grace .

I'm confused by the US conservatives' full court press for fossil fuels and against wind/solar. It's almost all tribalism: the left is for it, so they're against it. They have a pa…

Back of a very tiny envelope: suppose there are 100 million jobs that benefit from spending $10k/year in tokens. That's a trillion in annual revenue; at a 30% margin that's $300 bi…

You can find an extremely similar paragraph written about Claude 4.x or some equivalent gpt Yes, as a product gradually improves there will always be many people for whom version X…

That seems to be for the "AA-Omniscience" test where you get +1 for a correct answer, -1 for a wrong answer, and 0 for "I don't know". If a model is more than 50% confident in its …

so how else will they do that By selling more tokens, which by all reasonable accounts are profitable on the margin.

People said this a year ago A year ago Opus 4.1 was $75 per million tokens, and now Opus 4.8 is $25 and Fable is $50.

Not surprising that Bluesky is perpetually in peak woke mode, but the racism claims are absurd. If Russia were doing the same thing, would we have no problem with that because they…

Distilling is still fair I generally agree, in the same sense that it's "fair" for the US and China to spy on each other. It's not a moral outrage, but it is something that the tar…

some people genuinely believe these LLM-based computer programs are human-like intelligences "If LLMs were human-like intelligences they would do X, but they don't". What is X? In …

Yeah. And really their default tone isn't that bad objectively, it's more that it becomes annoying when it's everywhere. There are a bunch of writers with distinctive styles that I…

I haven't seen any thorough analysis of how "hard" it would have been to find by brute force Pretty hard. I asked Fable and it gave an estimate of 10^46 candidates in the counterex…

It's quite difficult for me to visualise a non-dystopian future where our PCs are just mere screens and every compute happens on a remote cloud, owned by some corporation, charging…

You can call your little doggy "AI" if it makes you happy. Or you can keep calling them stochastic parrots as they solve decades-old open problems. The real question is how useful …

Anthropic paid $1.5 billion in compensation to copyright holders for use of their content in training data. The payment was for illegally downloading copyrighted material, not trai…

USB2 only, which still makes for a surprisingly useful system with DisplayLink and wifi adapters. Supporting the rest of the hardware looks like it will require watching macOS unde…

we're a long ways off from simply speaking software into existence I wanted a Chinese language tutor that uses a local LLM to generate sentences and evaluate my translations. I ask…

There seems to be this fallacy of "I don't have to write code anymore, therefore nobody will have to write code anymore." I see a lot more of "AI coding doesn't work well in this s…

AI-written stories have won several awards, e.g. https://lithub.com/a-prize-winning-story-published-in-granta...

I wanted to see how Fable could do at getting Linux running natively on my M4 Mac mini. Turns out pretty well: it patched the Asahi installer and m1n1 bootloader to support M4, and…

Most people who exercise regularly enjoy it. There's a huge selection effect here.