Viewing profile — oinfoalgo

10 years is Hassabis current AGI projection. I think this is the gambit that we have already committed to.

The forward P/E of the Nasdaq 100 is pretty exemplary of how this is not the same situation at all. https://en.macromicro.me/series/23955/nasdaq-100-pe It is easy to spot the dot c…

Taking TRT or not is a personal choice. TRT is longevity to me. Feeling younger for as long as possible. An "alarming study". You just have a puritanical mindset and can't stand so…

I don't think it is that surprising. It will become harder and harder for the average person to gain from newer models. My 75 year old father loves using Sonnet. He is not asking a…

It doesn't solve the problem that people want what other people want. In a "post scarcity" world we will figure out how to make certain things scarce and more desirable. Then peopl…

The bigger issue to me is that not all geography is anything close to equal. I would much rather live on a beach front property than where I live right now. I don't because the cos…

I use AI as a tool to make digital art but I don't make "AI Art". Imperfection is not the problem with "AI Art". The problem is that it is really hard to not get the models to prod…

I am a Bach fiend and the problem is BWV 1 to 1080. Why would I listen to algorithmic Bach compositions when there are so many of Bach's own work I have never listened to? Even if …

This is a huge problem IMO. You have to assume the CIA are the absolute masters of layered deception. I just listened to Anna Paulina Luna on Joe Rogan drone on about the CIA and r…

Deep Dream was 2016. The problem with 2025 is I have seen thousands of better examples than that landscape. The reflections in the lake are complete trash. Then I think of Veo 3 th…

If we had firms spending billions of dollars to pass the Turing test, it seems absurd to me to believe the current crop of models could not pass the test. Luckily, it is obvious th…

They also are one of the most overvalued companies of all time right now. The business model was completely stagnating before LLMs. They are cashing in on the rush for large firms …

People don't talk about their losing art trades or the art they over paid for and are trying to sell in a completely illiquid market. We were in a huge fine art bubble up to covid.…

In cybernetics, this label has existed for a long time. Unfortunately, discourse has followed an epistemic trajectory influenced by Hollywood and science fiction, making clear comm…

I actually don't know if you are referring to anti-LLM/"ai slop" software engineers or irrationally bullish LLM "the singularity is near" enthusiast. Religious fervor in one's own …

I can't believe a grown adult really believes something this naive. I just assume it is a type of performance.

I think lack of social media makes me stand out. I always say I am the type of person who would post too often so instead of having social media I just read non-fiction books. So f…

I would suspect at some point we will get models that are licensed. Not tomorrow, but I just can't imagine this not happening in the next 20 years.

A few years ago, I really dug into the research to try to find things to convince my father to stop drinking but all the evidence I could find said the opposite. That not drinking …

No, it is not the same at all. I worked at a small investment firm in college during the time and I remember the portfolio manager doing the portfolio allocation for a retirement p…

I will never have children because of condoms, birth control and now a vasectomy. My sex drive would not have been less a few generations back. The results would have just been pos…

I have never met a losing poker player. That for me was the greatest life lesson from that time. Also how there was all these poker strategy books but I don't remember a single one…