Viewing profile — obblekk

Maybe the most unambiguous "ai will automate work" example I've seen yet. Absolutely does not imply the workers are automated since they can now use the current models to do more c…

Maybe I’m an outlier but I’d rather this than accidentally block legit sites. Otherwise this becomes just another tool for Google to wall in the subset of the internet they like.

This is the first time in recent memory that software has had high variable costs so the surprise at these rules is understandable. In this case, a the difference in context cache …

One big reason supersonic can be economic now is the increase in wealth in Asia since the 80s. Transpacific flights from California have no sonic boom population issues for 90% of …

I see 25-29% here https://www.swebench.com/viewer.html for models released in Nov 2024 albeit not verified. gpt4o (Aug 2024) was 33% for swe bench verified. Important point because…

80% on swebench verified is incredible. a year ago the best model was at ~30%. i wonder if we'll soon have a convincingly superhuman coding capability (even in a narrow field like …

1yr timeline is ambitious if it means fully deployed. Clearly the right thing for Sweden and others to do. Also worrying that even 3yrs into the Russian invasion, bordering countri…

This is awesome. Coolest hacker demo I've seen in a while.

These critiques of zirp never explain what should have been done differently. It's very unlikely the Fed kept rates too low because inflation didn't exceed 2% for 12 years from 200…

Have people been dropping cursor usage for Claude code? I have dropped to using cursor as just an ide with auto complete. Curious if others are doing this too.

In the abstract it discusses that most of the effect (16deg Celsius) is from reduced radiative heating and only a few degrees from evaporation. Mostly the benefit is instead of hav…

A lot of normal consumers pay $20 a month for ChatGPT. I think most software gets bid down in price bc the marginal costs are zero. Where it’s not (llm token generation) prices don…

this might be a good thing if viewed from the opposite perspective: people with kids/elderly parents usually can't afford to pay as much per person as people traveling alone for fu…

This is incredibly well written. The oil example is very compelling for import substitution. And the covid example is interesting in showing the savings rate only went up as an off…

> Having access to goods and service is what gives you a better living standard I think the good faith critique is access to imports can be taken away by the other country if they …

The open source ranking library is really interesting. It's using a type of merge sort where the comparator function is an llm comparing (but doing batches >2 for fewer calls). Red…

> Texas is the only state in the lower 48 that has no major connections to neighboring power grids. That means growing energy demand in Texas must be met by new power generation in…

There should be a high sales tax on all advertising. It's the perfect thing to tax: - Luxury product companies advertise the most (utilities rarely do). The tax will decrease consu…

I hope someone reruns this on o1 and eventually o3. If o1-preview was the start like gpt1, then we should expect generalization to increase quickly.

Human performance is 85% [1]. o3 high gets 87.5%. This means we have an algorithm to get to human level performance on this task. If you think this task is an eval of general reaso…

The votes are strong majorities of both houses - great to see a functional democratic government act on such an important issue. They specifically don’t prescribe any particular ag…

Possibly at that price there’s not enough demand. Put another way, it’s possible there’s no price that covers the cost of maintenance per charge and attracts enough people to get e…

Worth noting this model has 50% more parameters than llama3. There are performance gains but some of the gains might be from using more compute rather than performance per unit com…

Very impressive if the benchmarks replicate. Some questions: * token cost? In multiples of Gemini pro 1 * memory usage? Does already scarce gpu memory become even more of a bottlen…