Viewing profile — nn35

Japan definitely did not do test and trace. Japan did 90%+ mask coverage.

Masks seem significantly more important than tests. Hard to make the argument that testing is of primary importance considering Japan did almost none and still didn't see a signifi…

Would you still think it was judicial activism if it had the opposite effect on policy? If "emergency" is vaguely defined, it seems completely within the purview of the courts to c…

Marginal Revolution is more interesting than HN precisely because "X is widely believed, therefore X is true" doesn't fly as a line of argument over there. Although of course they …

Take a gap year and do what, exactly? Sitting around your parents' house for a year is probably worse than getting the coronavirus, for an 18 year old. Maybe much worse.

We don't know the hospitalization rate. That site counts confirmed cases; epidemiologists seem to think total cases are greater by a factor of at least 10x. It also doesn't break o…

It does not seem remotely workable to me to shut down every grocery store in America with a positive COVID test among their staff. If you want to argue for less extreme measures, I…

-Immediate shutdown of any location where a worker tests positive for COVID-19. This seems likely to shut down the majority of Whole Foods stores in short order. An unreasonable re…

What kind of info? Would love to know more.

Are you confused or am I misreading your comment? The result is that 80% of positives are false positives, not that 80% of all tests are false positives. (IMO it is still fishy.)

How did they estimate this? If anybody can read the actual paper, I’d love to know. If false positives dominate true positives then you’d expect total positives to depend primarily…