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nhootan

HN member
Joined
Tue, Mar 14, 2023, 8:05 PM UTC
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11
Public activity
19 items

About nhootan

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Recent public activity

  1. comment
    Comment #49479626

    Exactly right, it's GDPR, not specific to France. Working on it ...

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    Comment #49465364

    That's a great feedback. I think I can add these scenarios as new features to the life events section. I have also thought of allowing to specify correlation between income and mar…

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    Comment #49454807

    The sign in is required for detailed plans to save the plans. Those plans also incure real comupte on the server. QC results are based on a cache in the browser and don't need sign…

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    Comment #49454688

    The Germany's data is in since 1901, but there is a gap between 1922-1923, cause the underlying dataset, DMS, has no bonds data for that period.

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    Comment #49454433

    Glad it ran, but the numbers aren't US. Once you login, "Other, rest of world" gives you a gross projection with tax and benefits off. The returns come from the same 25 country boo…

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    Comment #49454341

    Your last paragraph is why I did using MC simulations based on credible data. Once you pick a return and a volatility, the output just restates your inputs and you can't tell a wro…

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    Comment #49454298

    Sorry, that's the EU account gate rather than a geoblock. You can browse and run the Quick Check from anywhere except Quebec, but account creation is blocked in the EU/EEA/UK/CH, s…

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    Comment #49454245

    Thanks, that's most of why I built it. A US only backtest is one draw where you already know who won. This is 25 countries over 125 years, block bootstrapped with the domestic coun…

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    Comment #49454184

    It's Bill 96 and Law 25. No French UI yet, so blocking beats being non compliant. It's near the top of the list.

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    Comment #49454122

    The timing half is there: CPP/OAS or Social Security start ages, and pension start and end ages, so claiming at 62 versus deferring is something you can run both ways today. Draw o…

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    Comment #49454049

    That's in the full planner, just not the Quick Check. Horizons are sampled per person from actuarial mortality tables, so you get a distribution of lifespans rather than one guesse…

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    Comment #49453998

    Fair, and it's the part I'm least settled on. The account exists because the full plan is a server side run that gets stored, not to build a mailing list. Being straight about it: …

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    Comment #49453914

    That result is right. The Quick Check takes a withdrawal rate, not a dollar amount, and runs with taxes off, so it's scale invariant: $1M at 4% and $3M at 4% are the same simulatio…

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    Comment #49452988

    I got tired of retirement calculators that either assume one fixed return forever, or run Monte Carlo by pulling each year independently out of a bell curve. Real markets don't beh…

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