Viewing profile — new2628

That's an interesting response, thanks! I think where I disagree is that I think people are pretty smart, at least in one thing, which is survival -- the proof of that is that thos…

There should be a named fallacy for that, "linking to a comic" -- although I guess it falls under fallacy fallacy.

I agree with you, but my point is more broadly that in reality we often don't go through the steps "1. estimate probability" -> "2. make a decision based on the probability distrib…

There is always a prior only if you really care about computing probabilities. The implicit assumption in Bayesian data analysis is that you go first to "best possible estimate of …

Now that's a pretentious dismissal if I ever heard one.

Controversial opinion: Bayes Theorem is overrated. In real life usually we have no idea about priors, and we have close to zero chance to get any good estimate of the true probabil…

> What do you recommend using for fertiliser in its place? Horse manure :)

Another great series is Advoko: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xRSUxRUZb0I

This is like saying that the weapons advanced countries sell to less advanced countries are more "life-respecting".

Being an "early adopter" when it comes to non-essential medicine is not too smart either. Referring to IQ as a stand-in for intelligence is yet another blind alley.

That integrity of the West during and before the cold war included some nasty moves as well (Vietnam to name one). In fact, I find your thesis jingoism at its best.

I agree that in Berlin it is not as _major_ problem as in some other large cities, but still, it is telling that it is widely accepted as normal that all building corners that face…

It's amazing that the only danger you see is that it is fuel to anti-vaxxers. What if it is actually harmful at scale?

You are right, 50 years is probably smarter, 20 is too little for all the effects to come out.

Yet sidewalks in cities around most of the developed world drown in dog/cat poop and pee, something that would have seemed strange a generation ago, and still seems if you travel f…

You can encode as moderately large (low hundreds of clauses/variables) SAT instances questions of Ramsey-theory and other unsolved combinatorics and those instances will not be sol…

I would love to take part in such an experiment and be on UBI while the rest of society is not.

I saw that a long time ago, it is hilarious.

To be fair, the "new math" of the 60s deserved that.

Most such services are contracted anyway and not on payroll.

Some of these skills (I would add: patience, focus, controlling anger, planning a few steps ahead) definitely transfer and are especially valuable to teach to children. But all the…

It correlates with education, income, etc. because it serves basically as a literacy test. (As in, very low IQ means you fail at most measurable things.) Once you condition on IQ>1…

A double twist is that in the original Hungarian his name is Élő that means "Live". For the first few decades of hearing "Élő"-score, I just assumed it meant your "live" score, as …