Viewing profile — nanotuber

Hey so the Trump Administration resumed military aid, as I said above.

Dude you need to go outside and touch grass. Good luck.

The countries and territories mentioned in the broader thread need much more than tactical nukes if they are going to seek nuclear deterrence. Russia invades Spain, Spain hits what…

I'll buy you a beer if any of these regions have a nuke in 10 years.

So you've said that if you're proven wrong you won't change your mind? This is in general a bad strategy. Re: logical fallacies, I have no idea what you are talking about. You shou…

I am no bot. Dang can reach out to confirm etc. On the flip side, your comments have been incredibly disrespectful and flamewar-ish. You may not know me as a person, and may be par…

Responding to what I thought the parent comment was saying. I'll buy you a beer if a new state (besides Iran) gets nuclear weapons in the next 10 years.

Unless Europe steps in, or a peace is negotiated.

I don't disagree. I definitely wouldn't want to be invested (or living) there. But the point is that "collapse" is very different from "spent a ton of money on stuff that got destr…

I think you are spot on. In 2022 Russia was pushed back from several areas and debating whether it would commit to a wider war. I think there were some opportunities for negotiatio…

If it happens come back and read and think about this thread again (read my other comments in it). :) Promise I'll do the same if it doesn't happen.

ROK and Japan have formal legal treaties. Ukraine does not. This hasn't stopped ROK from thinking the Biden Administration wouldn't come to its aid if push came to shove. I see you…

This is nuclear powered (long range) submarines.

For sure this is destabilizing to the security of the region. One war at a time though. Hard choices? There are so many. One is that Russia had to deploy a large number of air defe…

Any developed nation _with a well developed nuclear energy industry_ would be able to build a bomb with years of effort. There's a lot that goes into a bomb beyond refining (e.g. m…

Yes. And in fact the Trump Administration may boost military aid to Ukraine in the future still. This was mentioned in the above thread: "A direct confrontation between NATO and Ru…

The deeper reason is that the Baltics are in a security conundrum. Russia is inherently insecure, and Europe doesn't know where Europe ends. For security - let's compare the Russia…

Certainly Russia's economy has difficulties. It has inflation roughly 9-10% and (dangerously low) unemployment around 1%. Russia's Central Bank key rate needs to be extremely high …

Comments are disappointing for hacker news standard. This pause was predictable (I predicted it in Nov 2024). It's negotiation leverage to steer toward an immediate resolution of t…

It's a negotiation tactic. It's trying to force Ukraine's hand to come to negotiations. That's adherent to many Trump policies: - Force a resolution of the conflict - Get Europe to…

That's a good point. Both the ROK and Japan though are cases where the US "pivoting to Asia" from Europe would make them less, not more, likely to pursue such a breakout. And in bo…

The implication is that nuclear proliferation is linked to the US pausing Ukraine aid. That's a gross mischaracterization. I'll bet you 10 to 1 that Ukraine won't end up with nukes…

Disagree with the implication here and expect the opposite. Ukraine peace (even an imperfect one) allows the US and Russia to work together to prevent Iran from getting a nuke. Ukr…

Note: Tesla does get the $7500 and gets it immediately, from the customer, who is then reimbursed later by the US government. If you check Tesla's website they count on this: they …

A BYD buyer would not get $7500 from the US government. It is not a qualified manufacturer, which are companies from the US and allies (Germany, Japan): https://insideclimatenews.o…