Viewing profile — microprediction
microprediction
HN member- Joined
- Wed, Apr 08, 2020, 12:25 PM UTC
- HN karma
- 41
- Public activity
- 51 items
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About microprediction
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Recent public activity
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Comment #37688534
Here's why. https://medium.com/geekculture/is-facebooks-prophet-the-time...
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Comment #35754582
For unmanned missions into GPT returning structured data.
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Comment #34444543
As of today I have permission to make public my somewhat mischievous entry in the year-long world-wide stock and ETF forecasting contest … the sixth major M-competition in a storie…
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Comment #34058081
Some reviews: https://github.com/microprediction/building_an_open_ai_netwo...
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Comment #34057852
Microprediction named Quant Book of the Year by Rebellion Research.
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Comment #33099775
I'm the author. AMA.
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Comment #29152978
Hi I'm the author of the Prophet article https://www.microprediction.com/blog/prophet which for better or worse is why many people have recently questioned Prophet as a time-series…
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Comment #29106814
What is the probability a horse finishes last, or 7th, or 5th? If you think you have a good approach, there's probably a paper in this.
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Comment #28914684
You are asked one mathematically subtle question about mean-reverting processes. Results will be part of a submitted academic paper. Thanks to all who participate.
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Comment #28842770
It's stand up to Facebook week, people!
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Comment #28790446
The details of the M6 Forecasting competition have been announced. This time it is the hardest possible test and it’s good to see that we’re going real-time.
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Comment #28589148
The Elo Ratings in this table are produced transparently in the repo timeseries-elo-ratings and based on k-step ahead prediction duels using live time series data. See METHODOLOGY.…
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Comment #28527356
A recent paper by Spyros Makridakis, Chris Fry, Fotios Petropoulos, and Evangelos Spiliotis considers the past evidence from forecasting competitions and lays out some design princ…
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Comment #28526599
Jackpot is going up $100 every day