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microprediction

HN member
Joined
Wed, Apr 08, 2020, 12:25 PM UTC
HN karma
41
Public activity
51 items

About microprediction

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Recent public activity

  1. comment
    Comment #37688534

    Here's why. https://medium.com/geekculture/is-facebooks-prophet-the-time...

  2. comment
    Comment #35754582

    For unmanned missions into GPT returning structured data.

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  4. comment
    Comment #34444543

    As of today I have permission to make public my somewhat mischievous entry in the year-long world-wide stock and ETF forecasting contest … the sixth major M-competition in a storie…

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  6. comment
    Comment #34058081

    Some reviews: https://github.com/microprediction/building_an_open_ai_netwo...

  7. comment
    Comment #34057852

    Microprediction named Quant Book of the Year by Rebellion Research.

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  9. comment
    Comment #33099775

    I'm the author. AMA.

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  11. comment
    Comment #29152978

    Hi I'm the author of the Prophet article https://www.microprediction.com/blog/prophet which for better or worse is why many people have recently questioned Prophet as a time-series…

  12. comment
    Comment #29106814

    What is the probability a horse finishes last, or 7th, or 5th? If you think you have a good approach, there's probably a paper in this.

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  14. comment
    Comment #28914684

    You are asked one mathematically subtle question about mean-reverting processes. Results will be part of a submitted academic paper. Thanks to all who participate.

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  16. comment
    Comment #28842770

    It's stand up to Facebook week, people!

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  19. comment
    Comment #28790446

    The details of the M6 Forecasting competition have been announced. This time it is the hardest possible test and it’s good to see that we’re going real-time.

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  21. comment
    Comment #28589148

    The Elo Ratings in this table are produced transparently in the repo timeseries-elo-ratings and based on k-step ahead prediction duels using live time series data. See METHODOLOGY.…

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  23. comment
    Comment #28527356

    A recent paper by Spyros Makridakis, Chris Fry, Fotios Petropoulos, and Evangelos Spiliotis considers the past evidence from forecasting competitions and lays out some design princ…

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  25. comment
    Comment #28526599

    Jackpot is going up $100 every day