Viewing profile — mcastillon

Before you know it, we're going to have a real world proof of the infinite monkey theorem https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinite_monkey_theorem

I think this underrates how many emails are literally just replies of "sounds good". Small snippet replies seem to be the vast majority of automatically suggested responses in gmai…

538 actually did a terrific job accounting for those polling phenomena, finding that in spite of that narrative around right-leaning polls arising, polls that cycle were pretty spo…

Nate got his start in this world doing baseball forecasting ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PECOTA ), well before he delved into politics. Jay Boice definitely doing much of the he…

Reading some more, it does look like Zillow was in fact leveraging humans in the loop https://venturebeat.com/2019/12/11/why-explainable-ai-is-ind... . What seems like a likely exp…

I'm surprised that nothing here has been written about human in the loop. All time series models are flawed in some capacity, and are going to have difficulties in the current mark…

I think in general just limiting your world view to singular topics is also just not a great way to learn about the world. We all have our blindspots, and it's exacerbated by that …

It could be argued that by focusing on the wide release, they inherently doomed the product. Hard to build a cohesive community of 300M when the stickiness factor doesn't exist yet…