Viewing profile — mathdev

It's quite incredible. This chemical appears to have a safety profile comparable with the coronavirus itself, and yet the stock market appears to anticipate a possibility that peop…

Discussing facts with leftists in their own bastion (the HN) is a waste of time. The other poster refuted the central thesis of the article and all they got for it were downvotes. …

You cannot really trust a source as biased as NYT on anything about Trump.

I imagine the process is quite involved for tax optimization reasons.

> the only son of Leila (née Stahl) and Congressman Howard Buffett. > In high school, he invested in a business owned by his father and bought a 40-acre farm worked by a tenant far…

> Either in-person classes are safe, and the rules can go back to pre-pandemic, or they aren't, and forcing students and professors to attend them is dangerous and cruel. Actually,…

Expansion of space doesn’t preclude the universe being infinite.

A fact check would be fine if it led to objective analyses of some sort, or even Wikipedia. But when I clicked it, it displayed some highly partisan sources, including a CNN articl…

A big artificial biosphere to launch out of the solar system and live there away from all the human nonsense.

It's just too contagious and countries are opening up that still have quite a large number of infections. Seems like a very tricky balancing act to keep R under 1.

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1258931279317405696 and there are more tweets on that if you scroll the feed.

Interesting predictions. However, they do not fit the facts on the ground, at least here in Poland, which is some weeks ahead of the US with respect to the development of the epide…

No. First, having multiple conditions doesn’t qualitatively change the result. Second, the figure shown by default is not adjusted for comorbidities and the adjustment is clearly m…

Hi, I just submitted a tool I created that estimates COVID-19 risks based on best scientific data available, while providing the detailed sources and explanations for each calculat…

I am reluctant to accept the American/Western mentality in these things, but I have added some disclaimers. Thanks.

Yeah, it only takes into account whether one has preconditions or not, at the moment. The plan was to produce more detailed calculations, but it is difficult.

Fixed to only include the base URL.

1) No. I don't imagine there are any reliable statistics available on that, and how could you estimate your dose? 2) Yes, this was taken into account by the study, data from which …

That's a neat idea, though not sure if I will have the time.

I don't log or store anything, except for what is logged by Google Analytics. > If they were to end up dying of COVID-19 because they are induced to take more risks, do you think y…

See the modals that display after clicking the question marks for details.

There does not seem to be enough reliable data for the higher age brackets. That should happen if you have no pre-existing conditions - then the adjustment decreases the probabilit…

I made this tool after seeing much confusion, even on HN, about the risks for an individual posed by COVID-19. On the results page, click the question marks for detailed sources an…