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manyhats

HN member
Joined
Thu, May 21, 2015, 10:01 PM UTC
HN karma
90
Public activity
18 items

About manyhats

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Recent public activity

  1. comment
    Comment #24822913

    Equities in a given sector, whether public or private, tend to be highly correlated, but external observers just don't really get the full picture unless they dig into the specific…

  2. comment
    Comment #24822853

    I disagree on the choice of benchmarks as they're not really comparable. A more comparable benchmark for angel investments in Internet / SW startups would be a broad-based ETF that…

  3. comment
    Comment #23306923

    Good explanation. I'll nudge it even more with a Scenario C to further illustrate that ignoring non-cash comp leads to an distorted picture. Scenario C: Company hires an engineer w…

  4. comment
    Comment #19441055

    1. It's important to distinguish between liquidity risk and solvency risk. Liquidity risk is needing to sell an asset that is fundamentally sound and not being able to get a fair p…

  5. comment
    Comment #18526800

    Suggest that readers look at cloud revenue from a business model perspective, not a technology one. Cloud revenues between Amazon and MS are comparable from an investment point-of-…

  6. comment
    Comment #13917930

    The "crash" wasn't a day-long, week-long, or even month-long stock pricing event, but lasted 6+ months from the first tech sector to the last going through the crash. The first sto…

  7. story
  8. comment
    Comment #11525443

    Consider other historical antitrust battles. It's often not about dominance in one niche, but leveraging that dominance into other areas and limiting innovation there. By your asse…

  9. comment
    Comment #11020704

    It can be spiral-like locally without it necessarily being so nationally or globally. Ask your average roughneck or metal bender in Texas or North Dakota about layoffs, salary cuts…

  10. comment
    Comment #11020639

    If you're trading, USO is fine. If you're investing on a longer-term horizon (a year or more), the monthly futures roll where the USO fund sells the current month's oil contracts (…

  11. comment
    Comment #10041016

    Nearly all cruise ships currently charge for Internet access by the minute, not the bit, and throughput can vary widely. Typical prices start around $1/minute and with bulk minute …

  12. comment
    Comment #10038707

    The least costly line I know of is Pullmantur. Their repositioning cruises across the Atlantic are frequently under $50/day for a solo passenger. US$37 / day at current exchange ra…

  13. comment
    Comment #9593308

    SS is scaled based upon the average income as computed over a person's working life. Since he's got lots of zeros in the calculation, and there's a cap on the SS wage computation (…

  14. comment
    Comment #9590636

    It's not free if you become an employee and need to put in time to maintain it. Think of it like a fast food franchise - you're buying a job, not a passive income stream.

  15. comment
    Comment #9586287

    In this environment, it's very difficult to price IPOs "correctly". I'm no longer involved in that aspect of the business, but I was in the late 90s, and the same thing happened ba…

  16. comment
    Comment #9586241

    Adding a little more detail on the mechanics of a typical capital markets raise to your answer, there's an overallotment on the "target" raise, which the bookrunner (lead underwrit…

  17. comment
    Comment #9585807

    Yes, it's very uncommon (but not unheard of) to have large blocks of stock that aren't locked up in an IPO. For SHOP specifically, 99.9% of the Class B stock (i.e., stock outstandi…

  18. comment
    Comment #9585675

    Dutch auctions have been tried before, with mixed results, most notably by Google. The article below reviews the GOOG IPO. It's not entirely accurate in all the details (e.g., that…