Viewing profile — lukeprog

I know for a fact that at least 7 of the top AI people that I listed above think intelligence explosion / superintelligence is plausible and that it's not at all clear that will go…

> On the other hand you have (essentially) the entire mainstream academic AI/ML community, who are mainly concerned that the hype is so intense it might lead to another AI winter T…

Goldman Sachs did not donate to the charity that plausibly saves lives at a price of $2500 (Against Malaria Foundation). If I had to guess, they gave it to groups who don't even tr…

If you want to become a better futurist, there's nothing like lots of practice for improving your calibration. The best way I can think of to get lots of practice at technology for…

Or really, that entire series of posts, called 'Raw Nerve': http://www.aaronsw.com/weblog/rawnerve

One of the best I've read, too, and I've read hundreds. I also highly recommend '59 seconds' by experimental psychologist Richard Wiseman.

Paul Graham is one of my favorite writers. He's engaging, surprising, simple, and brief. And he writes on topics of interest to everyone. Does anyone else know good essayists that …

Epic. In my dreams, this article will become so popular that political commentators will use your Disagreement Hierarchy to evaluate political speeches. (Most political debate rare…