Viewing profile — linearithmic

testing beliefs against reality

Remote work buys time for housing reform.

forecasting bots will transform the field

Yes, great comment. Getting adoption will be a challenge (although the concept might appeal to fledgling applications).

it’s not a technical limitation, it’s a business model

I found the argument of the counterfactual to be persuasive. Do you have a sense of how much of the time would people actually be doing something better with the extra bandwidth?

Possible, but seems high to me. I'm not sure if those planes were really destroyed or just damaged. My knee-jerk estimate would be somewhere in the hundreds of millions. Still a ve…

I'd be curious about forecaster estimates of monetary damages from the drone strikes.

Good point. For me the issue is the variance which governs the time that I have to leave. For the subway, if I give myself a 10 minute margin beyond the median time, I'm quite like…

Thanks for the feedback! I'll try to add something about automated cameras and tag violations (which I didn't address) in my next deep dive.

I see these changes as expanding freedom, not reducing it. Car ownership costs thousands annually, which many young and low-income New Yorkers can't afford. Improving buses, creati…

The idea was not that San Francisco does everything perfectly, but instead that there are things they've tried that have been demonstrated to be successful we can learn from in NYC…

I actually own a car in NYC and think these would make things more practical. I would happily trade time spent looking for parking for a minor fee and would happily trade time spen…

Even if every housing reform went into effect tomorrow, construction timelines mean it could be years before we see meaningful improvements in affordability or availability. To imp…

seldom needed, but don't neglect it when it is

connecting the dots with network theory

even if progress stalls (and it won't), we've only started to tap its potential