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kalkin

HN member
Joined
Fri, Nov 02, 2012, 12:00 PM UTC
HN karma
1,142
Public activity
311 items

About kalkin

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Recent public activity

  1. comment
    Comment #49176167

    I wonder if HN is also going to insist this is just marketing for OpenAI and Anthropic, or at least good PR for them somehow.

  2. comment
    Comment #49077859

    Wouldn't your proposal also amount to a ban on open weights models? At least for any developer that isn't unshakably confident that no court will ever find their model to have done…

  3. comment
    Comment #49042792

    > In 2016, the Chicago Cubs won the World Series > This broke a hundred-year drought > A few days later, Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election It's not a 100% gold standa…

  4. comment
    Comment #49042369

    Let's start by noting you made a factual claim that you apparently had no backing for whatsoever. I'd recommend against doing that. > they would be perfectly capable of keeping it …

  5. comment
    Comment #49042035

    > this outcome is good for their business and stock price You state this as fact--how do you know it? OpenAI isn't publicly traded. On Hiive OpenAI is marginally down in July: http…

  6. comment
    Comment #49025329

    Right, I didn't mention anything about profit or debt. The question is whether this is a bubble that's going away - whether "AI will just be turned off". A revenue trajectory indic…

  7. comment
    Comment #49025281

    The OP cited a METR study... if you don't think they're credible, fine, but it's hard for me to see how it could be intellectually honest to cite them when their research is helpfu…

  8. comment
    Comment #49025273

    The people who chose to use AI would be the ones who would be fooling themselves, right? But they measured actually positive productivity there. METR's concern makes most sense if …

  9. comment
    Comment #49023805

    > I'm quite influenced by Ed Zitron's reporting Zitron has been predicting an imminent bubble pop since 2023 (although in less and less falsifiable terms), as OpenAI and Anthropic …

  10. comment
    Comment #49023701

    > Meanwhile, a study (late 2025) seems to report that although participating developers felt they completed tasks faster using AI, they where around 19% slower. METR reran the stud…

  11. comment
    Comment #48873309

    I appreciate the straightforwardness, but you probably understand that's pretty unsatisfying. Actually, stronger - it's valid in some circumstances to say something is infeasible t…

  12. comment
    Comment #48872870

    It established you can't assign copyright to the LLM itself. That's very different.

  13. comment
    Comment #48872834

    > actually intelligent It's reasonable to doubt that LLMs are a path to AGI, but I don't understand how this is still a matter of dispute in 2026. What's your definition of intelli…

  14. comment
    Comment #48872773

    > Reject the false and self-serving narratives that empathy doesn't matter, that altruism isn't "effective" Who is this supposed to be arguing with? It sort of reads like it's tryi…

  15. comment
    Comment #48741973

    > The code is not eligible for copyright. This is very much not what the linked case established.

  16. comment
    Comment #48250823

    Lots of things are wrong with giving people the power to make choices that affect the whole world, while excluding others who are equally or more affected, based on where they happ…

  17. comment
    Comment #48165532

    Yes, she addresses this by denying that she's made any empirical hypothesis, but in a way that's some combination of disingenuous and confused. She also says: > What I am trying to…

  18. comment
    Comment #48161650

    > The closure leads to price increases which leads to inflation which leads to non-dollar assets (ie stocks going up in value) I think this argument proves too much. Historically e…

  19. comment
    Comment #48161635

    I mean, there's a reason I started with a distancing phrase about a "reasonable argument"; I think what I'm suggesting is an interesting lens but does not capture the whole picture…

  20. comment
    Comment #48161071

    I think there's a reasonable argument that our entire society right now is under AI psychosis: The stock market keeps going up in the face of the indefinite closure of Hormuz. We'r…

  21. comment
    Comment #48136318

    There are a lot of valid reasons to hate AI, but I don't think "morale of Meta engineers" is a very good one. What were they building? Maybe it was fun--some fun tech seems to have…

  22. comment
    Comment #47851331

    It's really not clear to me how MAGA people getting scammed will encourage their world view, or that there's meaningful room for further embittering them. Maybe, but perhaps they'l…

  23. comment
    Comment #47850443

    I think it's often entirely reasonable to shed one's empathy for someone who displays no empathy for people like you. Tit-for-tat isn't always the best policy, but it's not psychop…

  24. comment
    Comment #47817563

    That's valid, but it's also worth knowing it's only one part of the puzzle. The submission title doesn't say "input".

  25. comment
    Comment #47817498

    AFAICT this uses a token-counting API so that it counts how many tokens are in the prompt, in two ways, so it's measuring the tokenizer change in isolation. Smarter models also som…