Viewing profile — jonbecker
jonbecker
HN member- Joined
- Tue, Jun 04, 2024, 3:18 PM UTC
- HN karma
- 98
- Public activity
- 14 items
- HN profile
- View on Hacker News ↗
About jonbecker
I'm Jonathan Becker, a 23 year old senior software engineer. from the United States. I'm a strong advocate for decentralization and building open-source software. Some things I'm passionate about include low-level programming, compilers, cryptography, and swimming.
Recent public activity
-
comment
Comment #49221765
[dead]
- story
-
comment
Comment #46682944
If we weight by contracts purchased the gap is 1.02%, dollar weighted the gap is 1.00%. I'm glad you enjoyed the paper :)
-
comment
Comment #46682707
super interesting, re: spending money to move the line is just another form of non-profit-seeking "consumption." i didn't filter for manipulation specifically, but i did find that …
-
comment
Comment #46682649
i understand how probability works. the "93 cents" vs "43 cents" comparison is looking at realized historical data, not theoretical odds. if the markets were efficiently priced, yo…
-
comment
Comment #46680516
tl;dr dataset: 72.1m trades and $18.26b volume on kalshi (2021-2025) core findings: longshot bias: well documented longshot bias is present on kalshi. low probability contracts are…
- story
- story
- comment
- story
- story
- story
- story
- story