Viewing profile — jdoerrie

Here's a link to that talk and mentioning of the 50.3%: https://youtu.be/ncHmEUmJZf4?t=2610

Given that we stop after the first failure technically this should be a negative binomial distribution ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_binomial_distribution ) with p = 0.97…

Not true. Assuming both players move completely random (both choose either 1 or 0 with 50% probability each) and independently (past actions don't influence the current event) play…